WEBVTT
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Hello everybody, welcome to the Fire Science Show.
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So I really like talking to people.
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It's kind of obvious I have a podcast, I like talking to people, but i I talking to people in a sense of not carrying an interview, which I also enjoy, but simply having a nice conversation with very interesting like minded people around about important topics in our discipline.
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Sometimes even uh topics that perhaps define the whole discipline or define the whole field in which we work with.
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I think field is the better word than discipline.
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And and uh in this first science show episode I've tried to bring a discussion like this.
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I thought we could make a little round table to which I've invited two two colleagues, and you are the fourth person at the table.
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And I would really love to drop some interesting thoughts about our profession on you and then hear back from you what do you think, what's your opinion on those important matters?
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And in this round table we are kind of discussing the complexities and how to navigate them.
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Why fire science is a science building complexities, why we need convergence in our research, how can we move forward and how to avoid some of the mistakes which I think are present on the way forward.
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I mean if we agree that we would like fire safety to improve and be better, how do we go to that ambitious goal?
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That's quite a big question.
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The talk was inspired by my exchange of uh messages with uh Steve McGuirk, who's here representing the fire sector confederation.
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And Steve is one of the longest serving fire chiefs in the UK.
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He's he's been a witness to the Grenfell Inquiry, and he's also strongly moved by the Grendfell tragedy and trying to understand why it happened and how we can introduce systematic changes to avoid such strategies in the future.
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And the second person invited to this podcast is Professor Brian Meacham, currently in Crux, known from his career at the Worcester Polytechnic Institute, and the 2026 recipient of the Kowagoy Medal for lifetime contributions to fire science.
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That's one of the biggest achievements you can get in the production.
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So those two brilliant minds I've put into one room.
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I've talked with one, I've talked with another.
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I'm not sure they've ever talked much with each other.
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So it's a very genuine exchange of opinions and ideas.
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And I suppose this is an interesting conversation to be a part of.
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As it's not uh peer-reviewed science, this is not uh a lecture.
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Keep in mind all the opinions are of the participants in the discussion.
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This is really just an honest conversation between four professionals, uh, one of which is you, my dear listener.
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Okay, let's open the intro and jump into the episode.
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Welcome to the Fireside Show.
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My name is Vojcevinski, and I will be your host.
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This episode is brought to you in partnership with OFR Consultants, the UK's leading independent fire engineering consultancy.
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With a multi-award-winning team and offices across the country, OFR are experts in fire engineering committed to delivering preeminent expertise to protect people, property, and the planet.
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Applications for OFR's 2026 graduate program are now open.
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If you're ready to launch your career with a supportive forward-thinking team, visit OFRconsultants.com to apply.
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You will join a worthless organization recognized for its supportive culture and global expertise.
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Start your journey with OFR and help shape the future of fire engineering.
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Hello everybody, I am joined today by two guests.
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Uh first, Brian Meacham from uh Crux, and also known from his long career at the Worcester Polytechnic Institute.
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Hey Brian.
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Hey Wojciech.
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And I like, okay, Steve, you have to wait, but I I cannot uh not stop for a second to congratulate you the Kawagoi Medal of the IFSS.
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Wow, Brian, fantastic achievement and very well deserved.
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Yeah, thank you very much.
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I'm I'm blown away.
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I mean, uh one never feels old enough to get a lifetime achievement award.
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But when I look at all the other people that have won the award, you know, Bud Nelson, who is a system safety guy who really started systems thinking and fire protection engineering in the US.
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And then you look at Heskistat, and you look at Beiler, and you look at all the people whose correlations we use every day, and it's like, man, you know, that's something else.
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But thank you very much.
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It's quite an honor.
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That that that's quite a club indeed.
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And my second guest, uh Steve McGuirk, uh one of the longest-serving FARC in the UK.
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Hey Steve.
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Hey, Wojciech, you're okay.
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And uh well done.
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Congratulations to Brian as well.
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Fantastic achievement.
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Um, gentlemen, we have uh a round table, uh a round triangle uh discussion on system safety.
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Great that you mentioned Bud Nelson and then the early work on system safety already.
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Uh Brian, perhaps to put our positions first, let's let's try to introduce ourselves of what do we do professionally so so the listeners know whose voices on this important aspect they're hearing.
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Steve, how about we we start with you?
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Yeah, sure.
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Well, Shek.
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So I I my predominant first stage of my career was as uh an operational firefighter and fire officer.
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I joined the fire service at 16 straight from school, and I was in it for just under 40 years, and I did nearly 17 of those as a chief officer, chief executive.
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So when I retired from fire, I I did other things from my life that had nothing to do with fire in in health and other sectors, but I kept a foot in the fire camp and and indeed was then asked to get involved as expert witness to the Grenfell Tower Public Inquiry, and I stayed with the choiry throughout its seven, just over seven years.
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And at the end of which I I suppose, I don't know, moved and inspired by by what I saw during the Grenfell Inquiry and the problems that I got involved with an organization that we've now, I'm as an executive director that we've now become a charity, the Fire Sector Confederation.
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And we'll talk about that, I'm sure, Walchip, but it was in that kind of context that you and I had a conversation and I started looking in more detail some of Brian's excellent work.
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Fantastic.
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Uh Brian, uh a three-liner on on your long career that's worth the Equagoi Award.
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Yeah, thanks, Wojciech.
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I don't know.
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Three-liner, I guess I've done a lot in my career.
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I was lucky to have, I guess, kind of a breadth of degrees: electrical engineering, fire protection engineering, and risk and public policy.
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So that, you know, kind of breadth gave me looking at systems and system complexity, fire safety, and the problem of vulnerable people in buildings, and then how policy works, you know, and how you should be thinking about risk and risk mitigation.
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And over 40 years, I've tried to merge those together to help myself think better about how to solve problems, but in the same time trying to help others think about looking at more joined up ways of doing that.
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So I guess I guess that's as short as I can do.
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Nice, nice, nice.
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Uh for for me, you're always the one who's pushing the performance-based engineering forward, for which I am greatly uh thankful because I, for myself, consider myself predominantly a performance-based fire safety engineer.
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I I do smoke control, I do simulations, I do evacuation calculations, I try to deliver those strategies on a real building based on engineer's judgment and engineering analysis, hopefully scientifically sound and based on uh principles and knowledge that we have as a scientific community.
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That's where I would position myself.
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So a user of that system and a stakeholder that that's closely tied to the industry Steve represents, which is the firefighting.
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So, where we're kind of like dealing with the same buildings, unfortunately, not talking enough to each other.
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And indeed, when you the first time brought up the concept of socio technical systems in fire safety, I remember like episode 20 of the podcast.
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I've listened to it like so many times.
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It's probably the podcast I've listened the most to, really, Brian.
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Because it it was one that I really resonated perhaps the most with, and and how if we don't account for the social systems, we just don't get the working way out.
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But anyway, um Steve, you triggered this.
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You sent me an email like you like you mentioned, uh with some concerns, and and we had a nice discussion and uh but perhaps let's let's uh make the listeners aware of your concerns that spring out of your uh Normus career and the Grenfell inquiry.
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Yeah, thanks for cheeks.
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I mean, I think I think Grenfell, whether it truly proved to be the watershed incident, however tragic it was, remains to be seen because there've been several so-called watershed incidents over the years in all countries, isn't there?
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I caught the half-life of a crisis.
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So you know, every year the half-life you know it dies off even quicker.
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It's like it's like radiate radiation, it it disappears really very quickly, and then over that period of time people almost forget as time passes on and the world moves on, and we'll come back to the speed of the world in a second.
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So you know, coming towards the end of Grenfell, it was absolutely staggering to me.
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Just well, two things.
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Firstly, just uh the behaviours of so many of the component parts of the landscape.
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You might use the word system, we'll come back to the word system, I'm sure.
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But every single component broke down, including the response of the Fire and Rescue Service, the London Fire Brigade.
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And I think that pulley was a bit that surprised most people because we've kind of taken for granted that the fire service will kind of rock up and do its job.
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And at Grenfell, that said not necessarily so.
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It turns out Grenfell wasn't the first occasion that had happened.
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And it struck me then I felt I needed to understand better why I really need to understand the why of these things.
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And uh that's why I got involved in the Confederation.
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And the goal of the Confederation was set about 10 years ago to try to join the sector together better, you know, bring speak with one voice.
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There's these kind of sort of twee expressions, isn't there?
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But you know, very noble causes.
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And I thought if that if there's ever a time to do it, it's kind of now real.
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Yeah.
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And so I started by sort of I I like to be a bit orderly myself, even though I'm not pure scientists, I still like orderliness in my life.
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So I built this little model, I called it fire chain, and I looked at the uh the NFP.
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I was it's the the eco, the life ecosystem, I think, Brian in the state, isn't it?
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Yeah, which is very, very high level.
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I felt it was too high level for what I needed.
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So I just broke down a kind of fire chain from at the one hand, at one end, policy and urban planning.
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Fire has been a curse and a blessing since we came out of the caves and continues to be so, doesn't it?
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And then through design approvals, so approval of design, people, competence to then construction, that's when things start to go wrong.
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This thing called value engineering starts to get brought into the equation, and then occupation, and that's when things really start to go wrong because people do weird and wonderful things in their day-to-day lives.
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So you will always have events, incidents, fires, which is the sixth link in the chain, for which there's then some kind of investigative legal process and then remediation recovery and the whole thing kind of starts again.
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And against that chain, I thought, well, I'll let me kind of figure out who are we trying to federate or what are we trying to federate them to do.
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That was a kind of first two questions to ask myself.
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And so I started just mapping out organizations against one or more links of the chain, and then I started thinking, why would they do that?
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And then in the UK, and it's true across the world, uh, I thought that there'll be a lot of regulatory and legal drivers.
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I've got to be honest, I was I'd underestimated how many regulatory and legal drivers.
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We'll come back like that.
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So I just started literally mapping these things out in some kind of brainstorming session, I guess.
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The first H90 comp uh organisation, I didn't even go to companies, it's just institutions.
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You know, they got the way firing the titles, haven't they?
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NFPA off FPA off, fire chiefs or uh fire industry associated.
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They've all got firing the titles somewhere.
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But then I go into organizations like architects, the Royal Institute of Chartered Architects, uh architectural technicians, and then I started into all kinds of weirdo, wonderful organizations.
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In the UK, there's an organization called the Institute of Architectural Iron Mongers, which in the first instance didn't look directly relevant, but every single door closing device, door handle, hinge, and every piece of door furniture, including vision panels, for every single fighter in this country and many abroad, are all made by a member of the Institute of Architectural Iron Mongers.
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And that was a kind of kaching moment for me where I realized, oh my goodness, we haven't got a thing called a sector at all.
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What we've got is this complex system of multiple players driven by, and then I'd study on, they've done a lot of work on the legislation.
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I got to 389 separate pieces of legislation or regulators, just the UK, by the way, that would drive people from the fire safety point of view.
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A guy, I pinned some work from a guy, he called it a web of same.
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He actually crowdsourced that this kind of information, and oh my god, we've got this unbelievable complex tapestry of organizations playing a part in one or more link to the chain.
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And we've got a massive legislation, a web of a tapestry of regulation, and somewhere or other, therefore, we've got to try and bring this together, and that's when I really kind of got into some study about complex adaptive systems and what what they might mean and why that's important.
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And that and that's really where I came across.
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Uh, and this is what you and I were chatting about, wasn't it, World Chick?
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And this is where you said you saying like Brian, the two of you must kind of come together.
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Um, so yeah, that that was the kind of background as to what as to why I thought this would be a useful conversation.
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Yeah, when I first heard like the catchphrase you would like the sector to work together, that for me was um this guy's gonna have a bad time.
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But then when you when you started positioning this as a system analysis, I thought, well, maybe I I have someone to talk with.
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So Brian, like from your perspective, this is awfully a lot of uh uh awfully similar to a lot of things that you you're mentioning from from a your perspective, I think.
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Yeah, and you know, it's a little bit sad that you know we keep having to learn lessons over and over again.
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And you know, I like you know what Steve said early on, the half-life of events, and I've used that term myself.
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You know, I think the half-life of an event is about six months at best, even if it's as horrendous as the Grenfell Tower Fire or 9-11 was in the US.
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Everybody gets up in arms and wants to do something, and then something else happens, and the politicians move on, and the trickle-down effect that everybody else moves on.
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In that period where you have that event, you get the knee-jerk reactions, you get regulations piled on, you get other things that are changed.
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Nobody takes a beat to actually sit and think about what's happening with the system, what actually went wrong.
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Who are the people that could actually make a difference if you map out the system and just start talking rather than start doing?
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Because if you're doing something and you don't know where it's going to end up, more than likely it's not gonna help the system, it's just gonna add to it.
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So, you know, life is a set of challenges that all work together in this web.
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And the building design construction process is no different.
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If we're not talking to each other, how everything influences each other, we're not going to be able to solve problems that impact everybody.
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So it's just, you know, it amazes me how so many actors want to be insular and kind of do their own thing and not think about their role and what I think is their actual commitment to society by doing the right thing within this bigger system.
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So, yeah, a lot of what Steve talked about resonates a lot with me.
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And, you know, hopefully maybe now we're doubled or tripled in in thinking this way.
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We'll start the ball rolling to get some more people thinking in this direction.
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At the same time, I think this mysterious system is also so complicated, and also we are all so close to it, it's it is very difficult to see the bigger picture.
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And you have to take a lot of sessions of zooming out from the picture to really start seeing those branched connections.
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Because I would never thought there is an institute or of architects who are doing the handles and door locking devices.
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But then once you point it out, obviously they are like there's a set of rules for electrical engines which power your water pump and your phone, and there will be a different set of rules uh for whatever else the device or or thing you put into your building, which seemingly might not be connected with fire safety, but in the end it is.
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So, and I mean, Steve, you used like a powerful statement, we should all try to confederate and move the system together, but at the same time, I wonder if moving forward for every part of the system means the same thing.
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Because in my head, I see you know an expanding universe picture where everyone moves forward and just gets further away from each other, you know, like galaxies flying away from each other as the space expands.
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And I'm not sure if that's a good uh definition of the direction we should be going forward.
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What do you think?
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No, I I I completely agree.
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It's really complex, it's it's it's not just systems, it's complexity as well, isn't it?
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You you have to see the two things together because they are codependent.
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There's a guy called um he he passed away not too many years ago.
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He's called Peter Ho.
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He was the head of the civil service of Singapore.
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I don't know if you ever came across Peter Brian.
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Some of his lectures are on YouTube, absolutely really crystal clear thinking.
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And he talks about how Singapore transformed from essentially a you know a swamp to you know one of the world's leading powerhouses and you know, fantastic transformation of a country.
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And part of that is buying into some some important issues.
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One, the world is getting is actually getting faster and more complex.
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Have you ever come across the expression the Anthropocene age?
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Uh, which is that, yeah, so because of this, which is technology, transportation, etc., if you look at all this kind of the multiple indicators, they call it the great acceleration, from the numbers of McDonald's to rising sea temperature, you know, millions of these all signal the same thing, you know, exponential growth from about the 1950s onwards.
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And his point is that that speeding up, if you add it to that the technology and the transportation, it has made the world connected now in ways that's never been connected anytime before in human history, which at the one level makes it more complex.
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What it also means is that you then have to think, as Brian just made the point there, in a whole system way, the the interaction and interrelationship between one bit and another.
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But to your point, Wolcheck, the problem with that is it becomes mind-blowing in terms of it's it becomes beyond us as individuals to then comprehend that.
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If you start to describe it, you sort of you know, you you just run out of space on a big wall, don't you?
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Really?
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You end up with these kind of viral and neural networks.
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So actually, then what you then need to kind of come back to is two things.
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One, simplicity.
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What you've then got the answer is people, isn't it?
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The answer is to get that like-minded people who can broadly agree on the phenomenon of complexity and and why it matters, not to dive too deeply into it, but there's a way of doing that, but to keep up at the higher level and to kind of navigate, negotiate, and in the end, it will be much more about collaboration and agreement because there's a shared sort of set of ideas that are in in the best interest of the public.
00:20:51.119 --> 00:21:09.039
And the final thing I'll just say on that is I'm more hopeful now though, of making sense of the complexity because of AI, and because what's coming through AI, kind of quantum computing, etc., is is an opportunity if we can if we can collectively get our acts.
00:21:09.039 --> 00:21:10.799
I mean, these things are always overhyped.
00:21:10.799 --> 00:21:16.240
It's if you know we're not two, we're not two minutes away from the you know, kind of the Terminator world, are we?
00:21:16.240 --> 00:21:18.559
But we're not 30 years away either.
00:21:18.559 --> 00:21:47.839
And and I I do think by connecting at this stage, there is a real opportunity to figure out as a kind of fire safety community how we might collectively share knowledge and intelligence that we've never shared before in ways that we can then kind of liberate AI and quantum to help us come up with solutions faster, more comprehensive, that do take into account some of the systems' implications that are beyond our kind of grasp as human beings.
00:21:47.839 --> 00:21:49.599
I don't know whether you'd agree with that, Ryan.
00:21:49.839 --> 00:21:52.160
Yeah, you know, feel free to disagree.
00:21:52.400 --> 00:21:54.160
That makes uh podcast more interesting.
00:21:54.160 --> 00:21:55.440
Come on, disagree, guys.
00:21:55.440 --> 00:21:58.720
I'll I'll just drop something for for you, Ryan, before you answer.
00:21:58.720 --> 00:22:11.039
But even if we agree that uh there could be a superintelligence that will help us get the most perfect and fundamentally sound answer to all of our problems, which likely is number 42.
00:22:11.039 --> 00:22:15.920
But anyway, if we have found the answer, yet stakeholders would have to accept.
00:22:15.920 --> 00:22:18.960
You would have people to accept, yes, this is the answer.
00:22:18.960 --> 00:22:26.000
You would have say everyone, yes, this answer is the best one, and it's to the best of my interest and it aligns with my goals perfectly.
00:22:26.000 --> 00:22:27.440
So we all move together.
00:22:27.440 --> 00:22:29.119
And I don't think it would be possible.
00:22:29.119 --> 00:22:37.279
Like even if we have the best answer, to have the best answer and have uh the overall actors in the system to agree on that answer.
00:22:37.279 --> 00:22:39.359
I don't think that's a reasonably physical.
00:22:39.359 --> 00:22:47.680
That's exactly why I love the Brian's way of thinking so much, with having the social technical system and an impact on that social part in it.
00:22:47.920 --> 00:23:00.000
Yeah, I mean, there's uh obviously a lot packed in here in the expanding universe and the complexity and the uh Skynet taking over and and and all the rest.
00:23:00.000 --> 00:23:21.359
I guess you know, I'd start a little bit with with AI, just from the perspective that I think as a society, we're not individually and collectively thinking enough on how things work, and we're looking more and more for computers and AI to do our thinking and learning for us, right?
00:23:21.359 --> 00:23:43.440
So it's a little bit of a challenge that if we're not honing our own critical thinking skills and our social skills, not our social media skills, but our social skills, then we're not going to be able to engage in a way with the technology, with other people, with institutions in a way that's actually going to be productive.
00:23:43.440 --> 00:23:52.319
So we have to get the people side of the equation involved in understanding, you know, what do we need collectively as a society?
00:23:52.319 --> 00:24:02.640
What do we need to do to train AI to be helpful to us and not to be going in a direction that we don't know how to check?
00:24:02.640 --> 00:24:14.400
So, you know, the socio technical system for me, whether it's at the smallest level of, you know, how do you design a smartphone to be more intuitive to the user?
00:24:14.400 --> 00:24:17.839
It's the user, it's the technology, and it's the system.
00:24:17.839 --> 00:24:24.240
I mean, designers of technology take those concepts into play every day.
00:24:24.240 --> 00:24:26.880
We should be doing that in fire safety.
00:24:26.880 --> 00:24:29.680
In some areas we do, in other areas we don't.
00:24:29.680 --> 00:24:41.759
I still think we're not doing a good enough job around how do we notify people in a building in the event of a fire that they actually get information that they can use in a way they understand, right?
00:24:41.759 --> 00:24:48.880
This is not rocket science, but that's a socio-technical system design that we don't have a handle on.
00:24:48.880 --> 00:25:17.200
And as you go up in complexity and scale to these complex buildings with complex technologies that require complex fire modeling, that you you know, great technology in these CFD tools, and then an engineer goes and picks a single design fire or a single set of conditions and forgets to flip the switch from the default fuel of propane when that's not even the fuel burning in the building.
00:25:17.200 --> 00:25:21.119
So you don't know the impact on the people and on and on and on.
00:25:21.119 --> 00:25:30.160
If we can't critically look at problems, think our way out of a wet paper bag, then no technology is going to save us.
00:25:30.160 --> 00:25:46.640
We have to figure out how we're together raising our game, and we're having emergent thoughts on how to do things better along with the emerging technology and build our institutions to facilitate those interactions.
00:25:46.640 --> 00:25:50.559
We keep forgetting the institutional side, the regulations.
00:25:50.559 --> 00:25:55.440
We don't need 600, 300, 1000 regulations on fire safety.
00:25:55.440 --> 00:25:58.400
You can go back to the fire safety concepts tree.
00:25:58.400 --> 00:26:01.440
You can prevent fire ignition or manage the fire.
00:26:01.440 --> 00:26:07.359
Managing the fire is controlling the fire spread or controlling the people, right?
00:26:07.359 --> 00:26:12.240
There's some pretty simple concepts that we seem to forget about as we throw technology.
00:26:12.240 --> 00:26:28.240
So for me, it's pulling back a little bit, getting universities to actually teach engineering and not modeling, so you know how to think about a problem, then you know how to talk to people, and then you can start building those networks, which I think we all need.
00:26:28.559 --> 00:26:36.240
So just to push back on that, I suppose your point, I'm not portraying this lovely happy, slappy world where everybody's that all the problems are solved, it's never gonna happen, is it?
00:26:36.240 --> 00:26:37.440
Because several reasons.
00:26:37.440 --> 00:26:44.319
But Brian's point is absolutely bang on there, that you know, AI only takes you so far, there's still a lot of basic problems that we haven't got sorted out yet.
00:26:44.319 --> 00:26:52.240
So and what where I think it becomes powerful though, is we haven't we there's a lot of new problems, we haven't even invented next year's problems yet.
00:26:52.240 --> 00:26:54.640
Who'd heard a lithium iron 20 years ago?
00:26:54.640 --> 00:27:03.279
I mean, maybe guys in the scientific community knew what it was, but most of us on the street had never even heard of lithium iron 20 years ago.
00:27:03.279 --> 00:27:07.839
You know, so tomorrow's fire problems haven't even been invented yet.
00:27:07.839 --> 00:27:10.640
So there'll never be a shortage of new problems coming down.
00:27:10.640 --> 00:27:20.400
So I suppose your point, you'll listen to watch that you feel like there's a fixed set of problems, and you might be right, it's taken us so long to try and figure them out, and we haven't yet, that once we do that.