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Hello everybody, welcome to the Fire Science Show.
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I've just came back from Hong Kong where I've attended the fourth International Lithium Battery Fire Safety Symposium.
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What an excellent conference that was congratulations to Professor Xinyan Huang and his team at the HK PolyU for organizing this fantastic, fantastic conference.
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I've learned a lot about battery fire safety and also while being there, I've picked some interesting topics or interesting presentations that were shown that I thought could be of high use to the fire science show community.
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Some I've recorded on place, some of I've got the speakers agreed to give me an interview in future.
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But regardless, I'll be releasing them because battery fire safety is one of the most interesting parts of fire safety right now.
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If you like it or not, it's something coming for all of us and we need to be prepared and need to be aware of what's happening.
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While there was a ton of talks about electrolytes, uh separators, uh chemistries, modeling, etc.
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I was looking for talks that are practical and directly useful to our craft.
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And today, first of such talks, my interview with uh Noah Ryder from Fire and Risk Alliance who was talking about battery energy storage systems, BSS, and those are popping like crazy everywhere.
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I had a skewed idea of what a battery energy storage system looks like.
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I had some ideas how to give a safety to the ones that I had in mind, but as the structure evolves, as the idea, the concept of a storage system evolves, uh and the solutions must evolve as well.
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In this talk, I've tried to pick Noah about how those storage systems are constructed, what drives their design, what drives the way, what shapes them, how people decide how to construct them and how to join them into bigger, larger energy storage parks.
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Because all of those are important considerations when we want to provide the fire safety of such a storage system.
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An important question that a fire engineer has to ask what is considered a safe storage system?
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At what point we believe we have provided safety for those devices because this will also also determine how we will construct the safety systems within the cells, batteries, modules, or entire devices.
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So well, anyway, I've talked enough and let's give the microphone to Noah.
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This is recorded in live at the Hong Kong Polytechnic University campus.
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It was a great discussion, and I hope it's a nice listen for you.
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Let's be an intro and jump into the episode.
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Welcome to the Fire Science Show.
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My name is Wojciech Wegrzynski and I will be your host.
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As the UK leading independent fire consultancy, OFR's globally established team have developed a reputation for preeminent fire engineering expertise with colleagues working across the world to help protect people, property and the planet.
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Established in the UK in twelve sixteen as a startup business by two highly experienced fire engineering consultants, the business continues to grow at a phenomenal rate with offices across the country in eight locations, from Edinburgh to Bath and plans for future expansions.
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If you're keen to find out more or join OFR consultants during this exciting period of growth, visit their website at OFR Consultants.com.
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And now back to the episode.
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Hello everybody.
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I am joined today by Noah Ryder from Fire and Risk Alliance.
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Hey Noah, good to have you in the podcast.
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Good to be here.
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Thanks for having me.
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Yeah, thanks for agreeing to do it the live.
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Yay, we're live in Hong Kong at the beautiful um Fourth International Symposium on Battery Fire S afety.
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Are you enjoying it so far?
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It's been great.
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It's been great.
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City is lovely and uh a lot of good technical presentations.
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So uh enjoying my first trip here, actually.
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You know, I really love how when I go for tunneling conferences to Germany because the Swiss German guys are the ones who are building tunnels and have good technology, you learn from them.
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And I can say the same thing about uh going for a battery conference to China.
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There are definitely quite a lot to learn, and uh, I think you know, just from what we've seen in terms of the sheer number of papers here and high quality ones, it's uh a lot obviously a lot of the manufacturing is happening here, so it makes sense that there's quite a bit of uh good information coming out.
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Manufacturing investment, you know, they it feels really strategic in here, and I think they are doing it on a purpose, and I think they understand the purpose very well.
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And I mean, it's also highly we're gonna talk about battery energy storage systems, so but this is so relevant.
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Like I see the developments happening in here because they understand the sheer amount of battery energy storage that we would probably like.
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What do you think?
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Uh 100%.
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I think the you know, as you kind of pointed out, there's been some very, I'd say, high-level strategic thinking and planning in terms of the battery development and just the industries that the batteries can serve.
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So obviously there's the EV side of it.
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I'm more focused, or today we're going to talk more about the energy storage side of it.
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But you know, the amount of effort that's going into improving technologies, manufacturing, safety across the board, I think is pretty impressive.
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I think for them, it's such a critical part of their infrastructure and you know products that they're selling worldwide that they have an inherent interest in safety in a way for the industry in a way that other maybe standalone companies or countries may not have.
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So it's it's it's it's neat to see.
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Yeah.
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If we talk about battery energy storage systems, uh, how many batteries do we need?
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Like what scale are we even talking about?
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Because I I see numbers in megawatts, gigawatts, uh, gigawatt hours.
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It's like a very abstract unit to me.
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How big is that?
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Yeah, no, I mean it's it's a great question.
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So I mean, I think in terms of the the of how many we need, I I think the short answer is if we could snap our fingers and have as much as we need today, we would.
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Um, but when we when we look at that in terms of actual quantities, you know, there's if you start at the base level, just to give some idea, there's we're producing probably in the order of about 10 billion new battery cells each year.
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Not all of those obviously are going towards energy storage, but an increasing number is.
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And so right now within the US, we're sitting at around probably close to about 80, maybe 90 gigawatt of installed capacity.
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China is uh around 230 or so.
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And over the next three to five years, they're expecting that to probably triple the kind of the baseline case.
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And if we kind of push expectations, you may get to you know four or five times uh more installed capacity than we have today.
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So you might be looking at a terawatt hour of uh installed capacity in China by you know 2027.
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So when we define this in gigawatts or or watt hours, the gigawatts reflect to how much you can instantaneously take out of it and what hours means how much it contains?
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Yeah.
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So I mean generally the way you'll see it is you'll hear like a if you talk about an energy storage system, they'll say, oh, this is a hundred megawatt site, or it'll be uh uh 400 megawatt hours.
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And so really the key is is like what is your duration of operation and then what you can simultaneously discharge to the system.
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So some cases they're looking at like a four-hour system, in some cases it's a one-hour system.
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It really just depends on kind of the use case that's there, but that's why uh almost always uh a specific energy storage site will have two numbers associated with it.
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It'll be you know a 100 megawatt, 400 megawatt hour or so for if they're you know, those kind of things.
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Okay.
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Um a power bank is like 50, 60 watt hours, a car is like kilowatt hours.
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Yeah, I mean a car battery, like for a big car, you know, battery pack is a hundred kilowatt hour pack.
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Okay, that's a big car.
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Yeah.
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Um that's the one that gives you 600 kilometers or 400 miles.
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This is like top of the line, go as far as you can, kind of thing.
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And then by scale, right?
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I mean, not that many people have them anymore, but you know, your standard incandescent light bulb is 100 watts.
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Yeah.
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So, you know, when you start looking at scales, um, these are massive systems that we're talking about.
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Obviously, they have to be because they're supporting entire grid infrastructures and homes.
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So most of the ones that we talk about today in terms of size are sufficient to power tens of thousands of homes, sometimes up to you know, a hundred thousand homes, just depending on on where it's at.
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What was the purpose of those?
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What the role do they play?
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Because we we didn't have them 10, 20 years ago and we were just fine.
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Like I know we store the energy in mountains.
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Like you have build a water tank on top of a mountain, you pump water up, then it goes down.
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I I understood that it's it's to conserve some energy when it's cheaper and then spend it when there's a peak.
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What what role do those devices play now?
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So, in some regards, they play a similar role as kind of your hydraulic uh type systems that were storing in based on water or flywheel type systems and more mechanical basis systems.
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Oh, I love those.
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I love those.
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Yeah, so I mean the the concept of energy storage is not new.
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Yeah, yeah.
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What has changed over the past 20 or 30 years, I think, one is is our is our needs, our power needs have skyrocketed and the grid infrastructure has generally not kept up.
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So we haven't been building uh, you know, quite as many power plants and everything else.
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But what has happened is we've built more uh wind and solar power, which is great.
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And the the biggest or one of the bigger challenges I'd say is that if there was excess power that was generated, it just literally went to ground.
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And so energy storage in particular batteries kind of fills that gap.
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And so it can take all that extra.
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It helps you uh not need to spin up like a peaker plant.
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Um, in some cases, you may not have to build the plant at all.
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So it really kind of fits this gap in needs where if there's excess power generation, or well, and that's typically at night or you know, other low use times, then you can store all that for later.
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And so that's really where it's kind of filled in.
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Um, the other big use case that we're seeing now is for entities that want to be more energy independent.
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They're doing their own microgrids.
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And so they they may have a tie and get power from from the made infrastructure, but they have the ability to basically island themselves and they can operate for anywhere from several hours to, in some cases, several days without any outside uh uh uh energy needs.
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So that's kind of a pretty wide range, but yeah.
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In your from your talk, I captured that a lot of this development.
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Obviously, the renewables, like you mentioned just before, is is one of the drivers, but also the data centers and AI, which are extreme uh power consumers.
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What role does play in in those resiliency uh or yeah?
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So I mean data centers are an interesting one because we see, you know, I I think I I saw a recent uh uh number just the other day that the kind of the big guys, if you will, that they spent 400 billion dollars on AI infrastructure in 2025 alone.
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Like a hardware, yeah, yeah, just everything.
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And it's just so I mean I think a lot of it's been the most of it's or a good chunk has been on the hardware because it's it's really expensive.
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I know I bought one GPU for computation, it's like just one.
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Yes, yeah, exactly.
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Yeah, sometimes you know it's like uh it's tough.
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But um I preferred the times when Bitcoin was driving it, you know.
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They those guys needed less.
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Yeah, yeah, and it it was bad enough then, but no, it's definitely it's kind of uh order of magnitude and um they're power hogs.
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Yeah.
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So we kind of see two things happening in the data center space.
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I'd say one is is kind of still kind of the the you know standalone energy storage systems, kind of your standard boxes that are outside, or replacements for your lead-acid batteries that are kind of in your mechanical rooms or wherever, your your UPS applications.
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The other it that's happening that is, I think, frankly, more interesting from a fire safety standpoint is almost everybody is integrating them directly into racks.
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Um so it's you may have a a rack that's half filled with GPUs and then half filled with batteries.
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Okay.
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And they're scaling those out as the as the data center is being filled in.
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So the white space might take a year to fill in, and the stuff that uh gets built first may use one battery design, and by the time they get to the end, it may be a different one.
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So uh yeah.
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I mean, uh that goes a little bit uh away from the subject of this interview, which I hope to be the battery energy storage.
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But it is interesting.
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It's very interesting uh what drives this need.
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I I mean I am of a belief, um we we are talking for the first time.
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I'm of a belief that the fire engineers need to very well understand the reasons why people do things because that allows them to do fire engineering efficiently, and otherwise we just ban stuff to people and they hate us.
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So I I would love to understand why such uh dispersion of the net why put it on the rack?
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What's the benefit of putting it on a rack versus having a container outside of your building?
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Because for me as a fire engineer, hey, your computer is like pretty expensive, like, and this is like pretty fiery.
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Uh how about the move it outside?
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So I think there's the pros and cons discussion.
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Yeah, I think the other aspect is that there's the knowledge and what information they have.
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So I think one of the challenges and one of the things we've seen is is sometimes there's really not a whole lot of thought given to, oh, we're just gonna do this because why not?
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Okay.
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And and so the potential that it may increase the risk to their facility is kind of has been glossed over.
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Okay.
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Um, and and this is going a little bit far afield, but not entirely.
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I uh so if you look at the history of what kind of the cost of the IT equipment has been as you put it into these facilities, if you look 10 years ago at a standard kind of search type of of equipment, it was nominally $10,000 per square foot.
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Okay.
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Assuming you had an eight to ten foot tall rack.
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Okay.
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Now it's three hundred to five hundred thousand dollars per square foot.
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So we we've seen two orders of magnitude increase in the cost of the equipment, but the risk in the thought process in terms of how we approach it from fire safety and what the kind of the concerns are hasn't caught up yet.
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So I I think as far as an industry goes, they're they're starting to get up to speed on that.
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I think that's there.
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And I think that will actually help drive it.
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And there may be some push to do uh some more outside.
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But to answer your the the the original question, part of it is if I put a box outside, I think nobody would would disagree that it's safer.
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However, it means that I'm stuck with that box and whatever it can do for the next 20 to 30 years.
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Okay.
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And I have to pay that infrastructure cost up front.
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I gotta do it, I gotta have it all installed.
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If I can build it out within my white space, I can build out something today for my use today.
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And if my needs change six months from now, I can build that out to address that.
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And I can continue to do that.
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And so, you know, if a project takes three years to complete, what was installed day one may look very different than what was installed day three year year three.
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So it gives them a lot of flexibility uh to adapt to you know, ultimately what their very modular design.
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Yeah, it's it's I I have a fondness for Legos.
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Yeah, and so I always like to think of things in terms of like, hey, this is this is modular, it's blocky.
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Can I put it together and take apart easily?
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And I think that's kind of how they're approaching it.
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Um it's a big benefit too.
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I I thought there will be more direct answer, like, oh yeah, the cable cost is like this, or something, but it's it seems multifactual.
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I I think it's yeah, I think it really comes down to as opposed to a utility type architecture where they're looking at a 30-year time scale for this piece of equipment, they may install it, run it for two or three years, and rip it out and replace it with something new.
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Yeah.
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Uh so they're I don't want to say they're not cost driven, but cost is the secondary or tertiary level you know thing.
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I I mean, I'm sometimes uh not very optimistic, and what they see here is the steam engine case, you know, when the the first industrialization came up, you had the massive steam engine in the middle of your plant, you built everything around the steam engine, then those stuff those things started burning and you start losing a lot of money, and here comes factory mutual and sprinklers and everything, you know.
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So I wonder if this is the same pathway.
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I hope not.
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Uh okay, let's move to the battery energy storage systems.
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In your talk, you gave an overview of topologies.
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I must say, for me, if I think about battery energy storage system, I see a container to which I walk in.
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There are like racks of devices on the walls.
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From your talk, I already know I'm I'm antique.
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Uh so uh let's perhaps walk the listeners through the existing uh technologies and generations of technologies in energy storage systems, how they evolved.
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Yeah, so that's a great question.
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Um so I think if you if you go back, you know, say a a decade.
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Oh, that's ancient times.
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It is, it is, but 10, you know, 10 years was you know, kind of the the state of the art was what you just talked about.
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So it was kind of a a walking container, maybe a building, right?
00:17:43.519 --> 00:17:50.319
So I mean, obviously, most folks that have some knowledge on on energy storage, they're aware of the the surprise Arizona, the McMicken incident.
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That was a building.
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Um, and we can talk about that later a little bit if need be.
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But but in short, there were structures that you could walk into that, as you said, they had batteries lining the walls and for accessibility, maintenance, HVAC purposes, everything, you know, it had some open space and so forth.
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As things started to develop and real estate became more valuable, and in particular, as it transitioned from, say, like utilities building these to more development, you know, type of uh operation.
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So, you know, private equity-backed uh organizations or or whomever that are basically building utility scale, they they kind of looked at it and said, well, why am I wasting you know, effectively half of my space, my surface area?
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So it really matters from a cost perspective.
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Uh tremendously, yeah.
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I mean, if you have unlimited cheap land, it it doesn't really matter.
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I mean, I again it's my distorted image of a data of a data center of something being built in like desert Arizona, like you know, with nothing around.
00:18:48.720 --> 00:18:55.920
So there certainly is some of that, but I think you know, the the locations are also have to be paired with substations and things that are going to support the grid.
00:18:55.920 --> 00:18:59.440
And they increase in density build around them, it's a small city now.
00:18:59.440 --> 00:19:00.000
Yep, yep.
00:19:00.000 --> 00:19:16.480
So so the the you know, your your density per square foot matters a lot, which is why, you know, during this conference, if you see, you know, some people have talked about it a little bit, but you'd see like battery density and what does that translate into in terms of energy per square meter or things like that.
00:19:16.480 --> 00:19:41.440
So what happened was is that you know, I think partly because on on market needs, partly due to manufacturing and transportation, and everything kind of came together and people started moving away from the walk-in style enclosures to self-contained, kind of more reach-in, where it's it may still have been an ISO container, like generally a 20-foot ISO, but they loaded it up with racks, and you could open the doors and reach in, but you can't be occupied.
00:19:41.759 --> 00:19:44.240
So you open it from outside, and there's immediately your batteries.
00:19:44.400 --> 00:19:44.960
Yep, exactly.
00:19:44.960 --> 00:19:50.960
It basically you could think of it just like you know, they almost look just like server racks, and you just have a fully popular thing.
00:19:50.960 --> 00:19:51.759
Yeah, exactly.
00:19:51.759 --> 00:19:57.440
And so the only way to access it is by opening the doors and and pulling the modules in and out.
00:19:57.440 --> 00:20:04.000
So that that started really happening probably six, seven years ago, and is pretty much the default today.
00:20:04.000 --> 00:20:15.599
What we've seen over the past several years is a little bit of a migration uh with more companies moving towards instead of your 20-foot or whatever shipping container style into more modular.
00:20:15.599 --> 00:20:18.079
So I kind of call them the refrigerators.
00:20:18.079 --> 00:20:28.000
And so they're all self-enclosed, but I can take three, four, five, ten, whatever it is, refrigerators, sandwiching them together, and that becomes my unit.
00:20:28.000 --> 00:20:32.400
Um so that is where a lot of entities are moving today.
00:20:32.400 --> 00:20:37.680
If you see some of the new products that are coming out, you know, over the past year or so and and stuff that's been announced.
00:20:37.680 --> 00:20:37.920
Yeah.
00:20:38.319 --> 00:20:43.519
Is this uh refrigerator unit uh a wholly self-contained battery energy storage system?
00:20:43.519 --> 00:20:46.240
Like does it have management, cooling, everything?
00:20:46.480 --> 00:20:47.119
They do, yeah.
00:20:47.119 --> 00:20:54.400
So generally speaking, they they may be linked with the other units or the refrigerators next to them, but they are fully self-contained.
00:20:54.400 --> 00:20:56.720
Um, they may share like an inverter.
00:20:56.720 --> 00:21:03.279
Um, so depending on who makes it, there may be some shared resources that are like a master unit and and and storage units.
00:21:03.279 --> 00:21:04.160
Correct, yeah.
00:21:04.160 --> 00:21:08.400
And uh so it really just depends on how the OEM is configured it.
00:21:08.400 --> 00:21:19.359
But generally speaking, they have at the kind of refrigerator level, they've got the full insight from the BMS controls, they can shut it down, they can do whatever else, independent of the other ones there.
00:21:19.599 --> 00:21:22.559
Uh how did uh free airspace inside evolve?
00:21:22.559 --> 00:21:25.519
I mean, I obviously decreased, but to what extent?
00:21:25.920 --> 00:21:31.920
Well, obviously, so I mean if you had the walk-in enclosure, you you may have had 50, 60, 70% free airspace.
00:21:31.920 --> 00:21:37.359
The systems that we're looking at today are nominally 20% free airspace.
00:21:37.359 --> 00:21:46.240
And so it's uh dropped drastically in terms of uh how much is there, and and that obviously impacts the safety system and anything else.
00:21:46.480 --> 00:21:50.000
I mean to start with cooling, did cooling change significantly also in those?
00:21:50.000 --> 00:21:51.119
So yeah.
00:21:51.279 --> 00:21:55.359
So I mean, basically, there's you can either do air cooling or liquid cooling.
00:21:55.359 --> 00:22:01.039
We've seen an increasing number of folks actually move away from air-cooled systems to liquid cooled systems.
00:22:01.039 --> 00:22:10.160
And so, you know, depending on what approach you've taken uh from a cooling perspective, then obviously the free airspace will impact that as well.