Dec. 3, 2025

229 - Learning from 900 fires with Björn Maiworm

229 - Learning from 900 fires with Björn Maiworm
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229 - Learning from 900 fires with Björn Maiworm

What can you learn after processing observations across 900 severe fires? A lot. Actually, I will send you to the paper straight away:

Evaluating 900 Potentially Harming Fires in Germany: Is the Prescriptive Building Code Effective? German Fire Departments Assessed Fire Safety Measures in Buildings Through On-Site Inspections 

And now let's dissect this. We sit down with Björn Maiworm of the Munich Fire Department to unpack a decade of structured observations from more than 2,000 significant incidents (900 in the paper but the database already grew!) across Germany—and the results may challenge the assumptions of Fire Safety Engineers. Smoke spread shows up as way more common, despite that legislation should prevent it, and is often seen breaching beyond the apartment of origin when doors are left open, self-closers are defeated, or vertical shafts pull hot gases to the top floor. Meanwhile, true flame spread between units is relatively rare, suggesting that basic compartmentation and detailing are quiet success stories.

We also talk about people. Injuries appear in roughly a third of these consequential fires and fatalities in 6 to 7 percent, with risk concentrated in prisons, elder care, and dense low-income housing. Building age isn’t the driver; height and social factors are. Where self-closing doors are mandated and maintained, smoke infiltration to stairs drops—just not as far as theory predicts, thanks to behavior and upkeep realities. That gap between paper and practice is where small, targeted fixes make the biggest difference.

On emerging risks, the data draws sharp lines. Mass timber’s challenge isn’t fire resistance; it’s the speed and multi-floor spread when exposed surfaces meet window plumes. The result can outpace practical firefighting capacity. By contrast, shifting a typical household to an EV, PV, and home battery can reduce overall fire probability; the true hazards arise from poor products, DIY installs, and dense storage arrangements. The smart response is segmentation and simple physical breaks that buy time, not blanket bans or panic.

We close by reframing fire safety as a complex system problem. Instead of chasing perfect proofs, we can use continuous field feedback to find the leverage points: doors that stay shut, shafts treated as priority risks, vulnerable occupancies protected with tailored measures, and dispatch data that points crews to the right entrance first. 

If this resonates, subscribe, share the episode with a colleague, and leave a review telling us which finding surprised you most. Your feedback helps more engineers, firefighters, and policymakers turn real-world lessons into safer buildings.

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The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

00:00 - Why Real Fires Matter;

02:43 - Designing For Firefighters’ Capabilities;

08:53 - From Gut Feeling To Data;

15:17 - What The Questionnaire Captures;

19:54 - Stable Patterns In Outcomes;

24:38 - Smoke Spread Paths And Failures;

30:16 - Fire Spread Is Rare, Speed Is Not;

36:08 - Timber’s Fast Propagation Risk;

41:04 - Batteries, EVs, And Real Risk;

48:02 - Scooters, Social Factors, Common Sense;

53:10 - Rethinking Extinguishers And Behavior;

57:08 - When Firefighting Really Starts;

WEBVTT

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Hello everybody, welcome to the Fire Science Show.

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If you want to do a good work, you have to do the work and then you have to figure it out if it works or not.

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That's how you find out the job has been done well.

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Now as a fire safety engineer, the second part finding out if stuff that we've done worked or has not worked is actually quite difficult and to some extent stressful.

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Because when stuff works we don't really know or we rarely find out, and when they don't work it's usually with a big media attention that we do not necessarily want.

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However, there are fires happening, hundreds of fires happening every day.

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And through those fires we could learn a lot about what was done in a building and did it work or not.

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The only issue is that someone would have to capture those statistics and process that data.

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And as you may figure out, this is exactly what we're talking about in this podcast episode.

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I have invited Björn Maiworm from the Munich Fabricate, who has run an exercise like this for years in Munich and other fire stations across Germany, and it actually still continues.

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And a year ago, Bjorn published a paper in fire technology where he summarized 900 potentially harming fires in Germany.

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Today he told me he has 2,000 in his database, and his database is something we will discuss in deep.

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How is he gathering the statistics from the fires?

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What is he looking for?

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And most important, what are the lessons from those those fires?

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We will talk about some general problems with uh gathering statistics.

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We'll we'll talk about collective experience on code writing and law and prescriptions.

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We'll discuss smoke spread, fire spread, and in the end of the podcast we actually this have a very interesting discussion about time to uh start uh firefighting in a building, which is a very, very interesting discussion.

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So I think it's a very nice one.

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I had the chance to record this live because Bjorn was visiting Warsaw for a risk conference that I have attended.

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So let's spin the intro and jump into the episode.

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Welcome to the Firescience Show.

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My name is Wojciech Wegrzynski, and I will be your host.

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And now back to the episode.

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Hello everybody.

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I am joined today by Björn Maiworm from Munich Phi Department.

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High level officer.

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Hey Bjorn, uh good to good to have you in Warsaw.

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Welcome.

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Yeah, thank you very much for having me.

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It's uh it's been a long time.

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I've seen your talk, I think it was at SFP Copenhagen, I think.

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In Copenhagen, yes, yeah.

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That's when we agreed to do an interview.

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We're a few SFP events later, but I'm glad you found your way to Warsaw.

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It's not the greatest weather, so we can at least do a podcast episode.

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So I remember back then you've shown a very impressive study studying the statistics of fires from the perspective of firefighters and trying to make sense out of it of how the measures are effective.

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Do I remember correctly?

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In the end, the idea is well, if you draw a fire safety design of a building, it's a theoretical idea, it's a planning idea, but we don't have any data about the outcome.

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We don't know that what you designed actually worked out.

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So the core question is not how did the firewall fighters work, how was the planning or design, something like that, but did the building and its design work out in real life?

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It's like buying a car, and some fancy engineer told you it's a very safe car.

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We put this and that in.

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We said, Well, how was a crash test?

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We didn't do any crash test.

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So this is actually the summary of many crash tests where the people were to introduce a fire test.

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I mean, it's a very rare perspective when I talk with uh firefighter colleagues.

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It's a common thing, actually, the the issue with data.

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I I had uh Eurostat project people in the podcast.

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Uh I'm due to do one with uh FSRI where they revamped the statistics in North America.

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But it's quite challenging to get meaningful engineering related data out of uh fire statistics.

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What was it the trouble for you before?

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The system the statistics we have from the fire department's perspective is how many fire alarms were there, how many false alarms, how long did it take to go there, maybe if they collected that data, how many hoses did we use, how many engines and trucks?

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How many little little stuff?

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How many so what i if if they even guessed it somehow, but usually they don't have any accurate data.

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But in the end, with that data, you can't do anything concerning building safety and building design.

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So we you must connect the systems because from our point of view, as German fire departments, the building regulations and the building design resembles the ability of the fire department's work.

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So they're interconnected.

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If you don't have a fire department, having a system with, for example, a second escape route wire ladder is helpless.

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You can see that, for example, I was in New Zealand, every smaller hotel has an escape ladder on the outside.

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On the outside.

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In Germany, it's standardized to have a second escape route via the ladders we bring as fire departments.

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But that means you need to have a very powerful fire department everywhere.

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Okay, so this resembles in all the metrics we have in our German building law, resemble the abilities of the fire department.

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I wonder to what extent the technical regulations in Germany were driven by the capabilities of our brigade.

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I I think all safety regulations are written by blood.

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Yes.

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And with blood.

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Due to the experience of loss.

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Middle ages fire, huge city fires, we invented firewalls, non-flammable materials, and all this stuff that's taken for granted now.

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In the time when fire departments developed, like in the late 1890s, 1900s, something, where was the time when the building code was developed.

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So these two systems interacted, and of course, fire safety or fire offices, high-level offices were part of the regulations group.

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In Poland, it's kind of like as you say, it it had to be there had to be a tragic event or something that uh issued a big revamp in the system, and basically the system would adjust itself to respond to whatever happened, or perhaps there was a broad big event that happened and we just imported some knowledge, that's arguably the better way.

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But um, I'm not sure to what extent they reflect the capability of the fire brigade, you know.

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If we had an event where we had a big uh spillover of an oil tank in a refinery, Czechovice Jijitse fire, they've implemented a special uh you know industrial fire protection around tanks, etc.

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It had a lot involved.

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I you you told me the story of a firehouse.

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Maybe it's worth it to uh repeat it, how firefighters implement influenced the regulations themselves.

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First, let me call it on your tank fire.

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Yeah, this is a very unique thing from a societal point of view.

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Yes.

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So, first of all, in a building regulation, you want to regulate a standard building.

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What is a standard building?

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It's an apartment, it's an apartment building.

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It's where people live.

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This is the majority of buildings we need.

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Then you maybe need an assembly hall, you need a hotel, you need a shopping center.

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And this is how the regulations are focused on.

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And in in the end, as we we talked about before, let's talk about the escape route length.

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You can do some fancy calculations.

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What's the visibility and the FED model something we heard on the uh conference today, and and and all these aspects.

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But in the end, from our point of view, in as far as what I could find in any historical document, the 35 meters distance between the very end of an apartment towards the door to the stairwell, and doesn't necessarily have to be the door of the apartment, the maximum travel distance is 35 meters.

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Okay.

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Because in the stairwell you can retreat to the next floor below if there's a huge fire as a firefighter.

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So you need to enter.

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And every firefighter, Second World War Time and after and up to today, the length is 15 meters for one hose.

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So there are two guys going up there, every one of them has a hose, and you connect your hose there from this door, and then you enter, crawling under the fire, plus a five-meter distance of spraying the water.

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So the 35 meters in the end resemble the depth of attacking the fire.

00:09:56.320 --> 00:10:00.879
And if you did you ever extinguish a fire, or did you do the training?

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Okay, you did.

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So you know that a hose is quite heavy to pull.

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And if you connect them endlessly, it won't be possible to move.

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So from a practical point of view, craftsmanship, it makes sense.

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And then if you have some guy calculating that you can install an early smoke alarm detection system and everyone runs.

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It takes you 27 seconds to move 35 meters.

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Something like that, so we can extend the length towards to 100 meters.

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No one would ever expect a firefighter to enter a room 100 meters with a house without the possibility of retreat.

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It's far too dangerous.

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And this is what the safety or rescue teams must be taken into consideration.

00:10:42.320 --> 00:10:48.879
Don't quote me on this, dear listeners, but uh I I once was very um intrigued by the concept.

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I'm not sure if you have it in Germany, but if you have a wall that separates rooms in an office building in Poland, let's say you would have an one-hour rated wall, the doors would be 30 minutes, like half the fire resistance of the wall.

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And it was quite funny in Poland because people started installing sliding walls and they were basically just giant doors without any wall component, and suddenly they were like 30 minutes all of them, you know.

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That has obvious business implications, right?

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And I was I was desperate to find where the hell did it come that we do half of fire resistance of the door versus the wall.

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And I found one thing from the 70s, I believe that was in Sweden.

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Like I cannot recall the name or any details, but it basically said that on a door opening, it's so much easier to stop the fire than on a firewall.

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That if you have just half the fire resistance of the wall, you'll be good because a firefighter uh standing like a few meters away from the door with a spray hose and a spray pattern can hold the fire on there.

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And I was like, oh my god, this is like not how we use it today.

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This may be one aspect.

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In the end, you could have a practical explanation, like on top of the room it's hotter, and then why don't you impact that long and all this stuff?

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But in the end, the cop compartmentation of a system, of a unit, and introducing a door allows us to defend as a tactical term, to defend the neighboring rooms and to defend it from spreading.

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And it's ensures our safety.

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Because if you can retreat behind a wall, you can attack out of coverage, out of colour.

00:12:27.360 --> 00:12:31.759
And then we have the same discussion with large office buildings in Germany.

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Well, you need 30 minutes of fire resistance and all this stuff.

00:12:35.360 --> 00:12:39.840
Yeah, we do know that it can burn through, but we can defend it.

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And in the timeline where we actually can do work, it works out.

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It makes sense.

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Of course, from an engineering or scientific point of view, we don't have any proof.

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It's just a very good gut feeling, a very good engineering judgment, how we call it.

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But in the end, we must trust that.

00:12:58.720 --> 00:13:06.960
Now that that brought us, that segued us beautifully to the subject of this interview because it's about replacing gut gut feeling with data.

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And while a fire engineer, you can spend all the time doing your CFD analysis, doing your finite element model analysis of a wall, how well it will behave in a fire, in what kind of fire, in what circumstances.

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In the end, life kind of verifies this by a real-world fire experiment.

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If a fire happens in that place, and this is an opportunity to figure out how it actually worked.

00:13:32.799 --> 00:13:36.159
Yeah, actually, it just started that for decades.

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It was totally accepted when the fire department's representative said, well, this works and this won't.

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Just by the power of authority?

00:13:45.200 --> 00:13:48.480
No, no, by the power of summarized experience.

00:13:48.480 --> 00:13:48.879
Okay.

00:13:48.879 --> 00:13:52.399
And by trusting in the expert you have there.

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Not just by his own experience, but by the summarized experience of the organization.

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It's not just me.

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I'm representing German fire departments in a lot of committees.

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It's not me talking there, it's a summarized experience and now based on data.

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And then in the last like 10 to 15 years, more 15 years, we had scientists that said, Well, you don't have any scientific proof for that, so we don't need that requirement.

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And this is when my boss and I we said, Well, we we need to collect data, we need to collect the knowledge.

00:14:25.840 --> 00:14:26.960
How do we do that?

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So we developed a questionnaire for the fire departments, and after a fire, with the allowance of the landlords and with the allowance of the police, we go there and we collect the data.

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What kind of building is it?

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Is this a special construction, like a hospital or things like that?

00:14:42.080 --> 00:14:50.480
And then we go through the safety objectives by law, like people's safety, um firefighter safety, and all these aspects.

00:14:50.720 --> 00:14:55.120
By design objectives, you mean you go through what was designed in the building?

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How was it built?

00:14:56.480 --> 00:14:59.279
No, what is the general requirement by law?

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By building it construction products regulation, heritage protection, environmental protection, which are the objectives we have as a fire department by law.

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Our job is to rescue you, get you out, survive the attack and not lose any firefighters there, minimize the damage, take care of the environment and cultural heritage.

00:15:24.159 --> 00:15:25.120
That's in the end.

00:15:25.440 --> 00:15:38.000
I I I like a lot of places do save statistics, but it's it would be very rare to like have a detailed description of what was the building status, like what technical systems did it had, what were they in operation?

00:15:38.480 --> 00:15:42.320
We don't look at the fire def design or the the the building permit.

00:15:42.320 --> 00:15:46.960
It's what's really interesting in this research program, it's non-scientific.

00:15:46.960 --> 00:15:49.679
There are not any scientists going on scene.

00:15:49.679 --> 00:15:54.960
Asking you what was the heat release rate and how do you define what is a significant fire, something like that?

00:15:54.960 --> 00:15:57.840
Because we use the German phrase for significant fire.

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It's a fire that is at least so developed that it can ask the question toward the objectives.

00:16:05.600 --> 00:16:10.480
So a small bin fire is too small to ask a firewall, are you strong enough?

00:16:10.480 --> 00:16:12.720
Or a fire door, 30 minutes resistance.

00:16:12.720 --> 00:16:19.919
So it needs to be at least bigger than a small burned food kitchen fire, which is done a thing at noon you go there.

00:16:19.919 --> 00:16:23.600
And then we spread the news 10 years ago, it's now our anniversary.

00:16:23.600 --> 00:16:25.600
10 years, thank you.

00:16:25.600 --> 00:16:27.600
It's a long, long last long journey.

00:16:27.600 --> 00:16:29.039
Yeah, long, long journey.

00:16:29.039 --> 00:16:36.399
And now we cover with the participating fire departments more than a third of the population in Germany.

00:16:36.399 --> 00:16:36.879
Wow.

00:16:36.879 --> 00:16:44.240
So with the area where they are responsible, of course, their data set grew in the last four years, five years enormously.

00:16:44.240 --> 00:16:46.320
Because it's about trust too.

00:16:46.320 --> 00:16:55.200
Because the fire departments need to trust us as the association of the fire departments, that we don't have a look at the fire department's work.

00:16:55.279 --> 00:16:55.360
Yeah.

00:16:56.080 --> 00:16:57.759
That we only focus on the building.

00:16:57.759 --> 00:17:11.599
So when my colleagues go on a scene, for example, in Munich, where the majority of the data set is coming from, like 30 something percent, I always tell them never ever, never say anything about the fire department's work.

00:17:11.599 --> 00:17:12.160
Don't.

00:17:12.160 --> 00:17:13.279
That's not the point.

00:17:13.279 --> 00:17:14.240
It's not the point.

00:17:14.240 --> 00:17:15.279
Focus on the building.

00:17:15.279 --> 00:17:20.240
And it even led to a situation where the police officers ask us, what happened here?

00:17:20.240 --> 00:17:23.599
And then we explained to him, well, the building's design was poor.

00:17:23.599 --> 00:17:27.680
The landlord's efforts to keep it going were very poor.

00:17:27.680 --> 00:17:33.279
So, from our point of view, the three people died because of the landlord's failure.

00:17:33.279 --> 00:17:35.680
And in the end, he was convicted.

00:17:35.680 --> 00:17:38.720
So this is another focus that can be an outcome.

00:17:38.720 --> 00:17:41.599
But now we have more than 2,000 data sets.

00:17:41.599 --> 00:17:42.559
Okay, that's a lot.

00:17:42.559 --> 00:17:43.839
That's that really a lot.

00:17:43.839 --> 00:17:44.880
He can do a lot of things with it.

00:17:45.039 --> 00:17:51.359
By data sets, you mean you're like real-world fire accidents from which you have the questionnaire filled out by the fire becomes fully full.

00:17:51.599 --> 00:17:53.359
Uh I just drew a missingness map.

00:17:53.359 --> 00:17:54.960
So where's data missing?

00:17:54.960 --> 00:17:56.319
Something that it's really cool.

00:17:56.319 --> 00:18:01.599
It's more than 97% of all the questionnaire parts for the listeners.

00:18:01.680 --> 00:18:09.279
The earlier version of the database, which I'm looking at it right now, it had 900 uh data sets, uh, was published in fire technology.

00:18:09.279 --> 00:18:14.640
So I assume it's it's an ongoing, we'll probably discuss about if this evolves and and how.

00:18:14.640 --> 00:18:17.279
So, can you give me like an example?

00:18:17.279 --> 00:18:20.079
Like people going into let's say warehouse fire.

00:18:20.079 --> 00:18:23.119
What kind of data are they supposed to leave you?

00:18:23.119 --> 00:18:24.319
What are you looking into?

00:18:24.319 --> 00:18:28.960
Like maybe you can maybe have some examples of how a questionnaire looks like a model one.

00:18:29.279 --> 00:18:35.680
A model one would be an apartment, a fully developed apartment file in a residential building.

00:18:35.680 --> 00:18:36.000
Okay.

00:18:36.000 --> 00:18:37.200
In an urban area.

00:18:37.200 --> 00:18:37.519
Okay.

00:18:37.519 --> 00:18:43.920
It's a very urban data set because the smaller rural departments are not that big represented.

00:18:43.920 --> 00:18:45.519
But I will come to that later.

00:18:45.519 --> 00:18:53.440
But you have this apartment fire and then it's um did you see any or did we have any injured fatalities?

00:18:53.440 --> 00:18:55.599
Um what were the means of rescue?

00:18:55.599 --> 00:18:57.920
So did they escape on their own?

00:18:57.920 --> 00:19:00.000
Were they rescued by the fire department?

00:19:00.000 --> 00:19:02.720
Did we see any smoke spreading?

00:19:02.720 --> 00:19:06.400
Because by law it must be pre prevented that smoke spreads.

00:19:06.400 --> 00:19:07.839
Did we see fire spreading?

00:19:07.839 --> 00:19:10.799
Did we see fire spreading towards the neighboring building?

00:19:10.799 --> 00:19:11.839
Firewall?

00:19:11.839 --> 00:19:13.279
Middle-aged knowledge?

00:19:13.279 --> 00:19:15.200
Uh yes, don't laugh, that's it.

00:19:15.200 --> 00:19:17.759
Did we have any injured firefighters?

00:19:17.759 --> 00:19:20.319
Were there was there a smoke alarm installed?

00:19:20.319 --> 00:19:22.640
Were then automatic fire some sprinter system all?

00:19:22.640 --> 00:19:26.720
But it's not in an apartment building, you don't have any sprinter systems in Germany.

00:19:26.720 --> 00:19:29.359
So this is more in the special construction branch.

00:19:29.359 --> 00:19:30.880
But you still save the data.

00:19:30.880 --> 00:19:32.160
We saved the data.

00:19:32.160 --> 00:19:35.759
And did you did we have any environmental impact and all this stuff?

00:19:35.759 --> 00:19:40.960
And from the very beginning, like we had 150 to 200 data sets.

00:19:40.960 --> 00:19:43.200
The numbers kept being the same.

00:19:43.200 --> 00:19:46.079
And I was very surprised that they didn't change anymore.

00:19:46.079 --> 00:19:53.759
And even if I have a look at sub-datasets from other states in Germany, maybe from Bavaria, from Northern Westphalia, and everywhere.

00:19:53.759 --> 00:19:55.359
I see the same numbers.

00:19:55.359 --> 00:20:05.920
I see the same numbers and the same percentages if the data is coming from Berlin or from a small rural fire department who sent me like 10 questionnaires.

00:20:05.920 --> 00:20:08.319
That's really an interesting aspect.

00:20:08.319 --> 00:20:10.400
How stable the data set is.

00:20:10.720 --> 00:20:19.680
By stable you mean in terms of uh the likelihood of the fires, like how many times they happened in different times, or no, no, I don't have a look at the likelihood.

00:20:19.839 --> 00:20:20.079
Okay.

00:20:20.079 --> 00:20:24.640
Because the questionnaire focus if there is a fire, what happened?

00:20:24.640 --> 00:20:28.000
And it's kind of biased because I don't look at the small fires.

00:20:28.000 --> 00:20:42.079
So the likeliness, I don't I don't care for the probability about the probability because from a fire department's point of view, I only come to your home, to your apartment, if this probability is summarized in a fire.

00:20:42.319 --> 00:20:51.039
So then you but by similarities you mean the outcomes, the numbers of injured per residential would it's always the same pattern.

00:20:51.359 --> 00:20:56.640
So the the likelihood that we see a spreading of smoke is always the same.

00:20:56.640 --> 00:20:57.200
Okay.

00:20:57.200 --> 00:21:00.559
About 60% of the cases, two-thirds.

00:21:00.559 --> 00:21:01.759
I see a smoke.

00:21:01.759 --> 00:21:08.400
Well, so we we can see a smoke spreading that violates the objective by building law.

00:21:08.720 --> 00:21:13.920
Are you capable of distinguishing this by the age of the building or oh yes, we did that.

00:21:14.079 --> 00:21:14.880
Very interesting.

00:21:14.880 --> 00:21:18.640
This was one of the few results where we were surprised.

00:21:18.640 --> 00:21:21.359
So you usually you have a very good gut feeling.

00:21:21.359 --> 00:21:25.119
Well, let's have a look at the numbers, for example, for injured people of fatalities.

00:21:25.119 --> 00:21:32.400
Injured people, if there is really a developed fire and you regularly see smoke spreading, as we learned, you will see injured people.

00:21:32.400 --> 00:21:34.000
And injured means coughing.

00:21:34.000 --> 00:21:38.000
You inhale smoke, and they were injured, they were transported to the hospital.

00:21:38.000 --> 00:21:44.240
It's not a very sophisticated ICD 10 something medical evaluation, but they were injured.

00:21:44.240 --> 00:21:45.839
30% in the cases.

00:21:45.839 --> 00:21:53.599
If there is a fire, the number of fatalities is from my experience comparatively high at approximately six to seven percent.

00:21:53.599 --> 00:21:55.839
I think six or seven percent of events.

00:21:55.839 --> 00:22:00.640
If there are 100 fires with six or seven fires, you will see a fatality.

00:22:00.640 --> 00:22:01.039
Okay.

00:22:01.039 --> 00:22:05.200
That's very high compared to the low fatality numbers we have.

00:22:05.200 --> 00:22:12.559
Because we have a lot of small fires that will never ever be big enough to ask the question toward the building.

00:22:12.559 --> 00:22:13.920
So they are not in our data set.

00:22:13.920 --> 00:22:15.200
Yeah, you're guys, yeah, of course.

00:22:15.200 --> 00:22:19.359
So and we see a lot of rescue efforts by the fire departments.

00:22:19.599 --> 00:22:22.480
As in the fire department has to rescue people.

00:22:22.960 --> 00:22:29.279
We have to rescue they are in the apartment, maybe standing at the windows, and then they can't escape on their own.

00:22:29.279 --> 00:22:31.839
So in 40% of the cases.

00:22:31.839 --> 00:22:32.960
That's quite high.

00:22:32.960 --> 00:22:36.000
And then we did just the last master thesis.

00:22:36.000 --> 00:22:44.480
We work closely together with the Technical University of Munich, and we now have 30 thesis, 13 evaluating the data set.

00:22:44.480 --> 00:22:45.359
And that that's it.

00:22:45.359 --> 00:22:51.519
And then, of course, what we always see is smoke spreading, rarely fire spreading towards another unit.

00:22:51.839 --> 00:22:56.880
Okay, but the the the statistics you said, like six percent fatalities, 30% injured.

00:22:56.880 --> 00:22:59.279
This is for the entire dataset.

00:22:59.279 --> 00:23:02.960
How about when you look by occupation?

00:23:02.960 --> 00:23:04.640
It's all residential.

00:23:04.960 --> 00:23:15.119
What's really interesting is that we only see three types of buildings where where we have an elevated level of injured and fatalities.

00:23:15.119 --> 00:23:18.559
And by gut feeling we knew that, but we couldn't prove it.

00:23:18.559 --> 00:23:18.960
Okay.

00:23:18.960 --> 00:23:20.720
It's jail.

00:23:20.720 --> 00:23:21.279
Okay.

00:23:21.279 --> 00:23:24.880
Of course, they have that's a challenging evacuation system.

00:23:24.880 --> 00:23:27.599
Yeah, they don't have an escape plan, actually.

00:23:27.599 --> 00:23:32.319
Some of them have, but obviously, yeah, some of them have, but not in that case.

00:23:32.319 --> 00:23:37.680
So jail has higher values, not a hospital, what you would expect.

00:23:37.680 --> 00:23:39.839
I would expect retirement house.

00:23:39.839 --> 00:23:40.559
It is.

00:23:40.559 --> 00:23:42.000
Yeah, it exactly is.

00:23:42.000 --> 00:23:48.400
And what we see in the data, and we try to prove that with the next thesis, it's a social aspect.

00:23:48.559 --> 00:23:48.880
Okay.

00:23:49.200 --> 00:23:55.440
Because if you put a lot of people, poor people, regularly, call the poorer, in.

00:23:55.440 --> 00:24:06.640
And what we can see in the data set with another PhD thesis, if you are married, the likeness that you die from a fire is half even less likely than if you're a widow.

00:24:06.640 --> 00:24:07.920
So widows rise.

00:24:08.079 --> 00:24:08.240
Okay.

00:24:08.480 --> 00:24:18.319
And that's very interesting because it gives us a perspective of a social aspect and a residential building like student apartments and all this where a lot of people pull people up put together.

00:24:18.319 --> 00:24:22.000
We see more likeness of being injured or four fatalities.

00:24:22.240 --> 00:24:34.079
Well, this is well, this is challenging that I I keeps popping out, and by common sense, I think it's it's reasonable that you're most likely to be injured in a fire in your own house or or in general in a residential building.

00:24:34.400 --> 00:24:37.119
But on a scale where you see that many fires, yeah.

00:24:37.119 --> 00:24:49.119
What I think it's what is really reasonable as a system of explanation is that if you don't pay that much rent, your landlord can't put that much money in the building.

00:24:49.119 --> 00:24:57.359
And if you're rich, you have a very thick door towards the stable, for example, because you don't want the noise from the neighbor, don't you?

00:24:57.359 --> 00:24:58.000
Yeah, yeah.

00:24:58.000 --> 00:24:59.519
You have modern windows.

00:24:59.519 --> 00:25:05.039
Okay, so our So in an old building you have the thin doors and the thin windows.

00:25:05.519 --> 00:25:12.079
Okay, so you want to say that within the residential subset, you have also full subsets that are socially linked.

00:25:12.319 --> 00:25:12.480
Okay.

00:25:12.480 --> 00:25:13.359
Okay, to the risk.

00:25:13.359 --> 00:25:15.599
So this is one one of the explanations.

00:25:15.599 --> 00:25:18.559
And what was really interesting, now I'm coming back to the surprise.

00:25:18.559 --> 00:25:23.920
We thought the older the building, the more likely it will be that you see smoke spreading.

00:25:23.920 --> 00:25:25.359
That's what I would say as well.

00:25:25.359 --> 00:25:28.160
None really, absolutely no correlation.

00:25:28.160 --> 00:25:29.839
Lock it, regression.

00:25:29.839 --> 00:25:38.720
So we really did some math on it, some statistical doings, and in the end, we saw it connect with the how many floors are there.

00:25:38.720 --> 00:25:39.200
Okay.

00:25:39.200 --> 00:25:48.640
And the bigger buildings in urban areas.

00:25:48.640 --> 00:25:50.720
Usually poorer people live there.

00:25:50.720 --> 00:25:51.200
Okay.

00:25:51.200 --> 00:26:03.039
And what we saw is in in in the last thesis, if there's a fire in your kitchen or your uh bedroom and all this, 40 to 50 percent likeliness that we see smoke in the stairwell.

00:26:03.039 --> 00:26:06.480
If there is a fire in the cellar, more than 80%.

00:26:06.480 --> 00:26:07.759
But guess what?

00:26:07.759 --> 00:26:13.440
By German building law, you need a self-closing 30 minutes fire resistor towards the cellar.

00:26:13.440 --> 00:26:14.799
But usually, what is it?

00:26:14.799 --> 00:26:16.799
Kept open because it's annoying.

00:26:16.799 --> 00:26:17.359
Yes, yes.

00:26:17.359 --> 00:26:18.319
If you go down the center.

00:26:18.319 --> 00:26:19.920
Mine is all also open.

00:26:19.920 --> 00:26:21.599
And we see that in the data.

00:26:21.599 --> 00:26:23.200
Uh we see this common sense.

00:26:23.519 --> 00:26:24.880
We're moving to smoke spreading.

00:26:24.880 --> 00:26:40.000
Uh, could you define what does the firefighter who's doing your inquiry, your your uh questionnaire, when do they say it's the smoke is any proof of smoke outside of the compartment of origin is it's very obvious.

00:26:40.160 --> 00:26:45.200
Yeah, it's very it's not about some well now it smells in the neighboring unit.

00:26:45.200 --> 00:26:49.039
Usually if we say it's smoke spreading, it's dark.

00:26:49.039 --> 00:26:50.319
Okay, so you can see it.

00:26:50.319 --> 00:26:55.920
So this is one of the things when I say it's not very scientific, and we're doing science with it.

00:26:56.000 --> 00:26:56.319
Yeah.

00:26:56.480 --> 00:26:58.559
Because it just what is obvious.

00:26:58.799 --> 00:27:04.799
So you found smoke spread in um more than half of all your cases.

00:27:04.799 --> 00:27:11.039
You said you're it's it's a contradiction of the German code which explicitly gives you measure to prevent.

00:27:11.039 --> 00:27:13.039
Do you know what failed?

00:27:13.039 --> 00:27:16.559
Like was it mostly the doors kept open manually?

00:27:16.960 --> 00:27:18.559
No, it's not keeping the doors open.

00:27:18.559 --> 00:27:20.319
It's it's generally the apartment door.

00:27:20.319 --> 00:27:28.559
If you don't have a self, if you don't have a self-closing mechanism applied to your door, and you try to get out, you leave the door.

00:27:28.559 --> 00:27:40.960
What we regularly see is if someone's trying to flee and and and he comes to the border between hot and cold, his system, his body collapses and he's lying right in the door, even though it's, for example, self-clothing.

00:27:40.960 --> 00:27:47.279
And what we saw in a subset very new data is like almost 20 years ago, they introduced self-closing doors.

00:27:47.279 --> 00:27:49.039
No, 30 years ago in Bavaria.

00:27:49.039 --> 00:28:02.480
And what we now see to compare to the state that don't have that, that the preding likeness reduced to the stairwell, but not down to the level what would be expected from a technical point of view.

00:28:02.480 --> 00:28:07.279
Like a self-closing mechanism fails in 1% of the case, something like that.

00:28:07.279 --> 00:28:08.240
Why is that?

00:28:08.240 --> 00:28:09.920
Multitude of explanations.

00:28:09.920 --> 00:28:14.720
But one could be they disengage the self-closing mechanism because it's annoying.

00:28:14.880 --> 00:28:15.039
Yeah.

00:28:15.200 --> 00:28:20.880
You have your baby on your arm, you shoot in your in the back, and you try to get in, and the door is self-closing, all this crap.

00:28:20.880 --> 00:28:22.799
So it doesn't work.

00:28:22.799 --> 00:28:24.559
And it needs maintenance, of course.

00:28:24.559 --> 00:28:29.680
And it's not checked like any other fire-resistant door at another place in the building.

00:28:30.000 --> 00:28:33.200
What about the pathways like the building ventilation system?

00:28:33.200 --> 00:28:35.519
Like I'm a smoke control engineer.

00:28:35.519 --> 00:28:40.079
A lot of my work is towards smoke control, which is obviously a ventilation system.

00:28:40.079 --> 00:28:53.200
But the the first step of successful smoke control is to shut down the HVC in the building, which means I have to turn everything off and close in the big building a thousand fire dampers.

00:28:53.200 --> 00:28:57.680
Have you seen any uh signs of that system?

00:28:58.000 --> 00:29:02.559
Yeah, what we see is apartment door, most likely, then the window, obviously.

00:29:02.559 --> 00:29:07.440
You mean true exterior, so the smoke exits and enters towards another unit.

00:29:07.440 --> 00:29:07.839
Okay.

00:29:07.839 --> 00:29:14.559
So if I talk about smoke spreading, I mean violating the border of the very apartment or the so-called unit.

00:29:14.559 --> 00:29:18.960
So you're fine with the fire being in one unit and if it goes to another unit.

00:29:18.960 --> 00:29:23.599
If you have a fire in your kitchen, we expect there to be smoke in your bedroom.

00:29:23.599 --> 00:29:23.839
Yeah.

00:29:23.839 --> 00:29:24.720
I don't care.

00:29:24.720 --> 00:29:27.119
Questionnaire we say smoke spreading, no.

00:29:27.119 --> 00:29:31.680
But if your neighbor so building law is mainly protecting you from your neighbor.

00:29:31.680 --> 00:29:38.160
So there we see the window, and what we see are shafts inside the apartment building.

00:29:38.160 --> 00:29:41.279
And what we see is the very experience we have.

00:29:41.279 --> 00:29:50.319
For example, you have a fire on the first floor, and then at the top floor, you regularly see smoke spreading by the shaft.

00:29:50.319 --> 00:29:51.599
This is very common sense.

00:29:51.599 --> 00:29:56.960
You have a kitchen shaft, for example, or from the bathroom, and then it tries to leave the building.

00:29:56.960 --> 00:29:58.799
It draws back.

00:29:58.799 --> 00:29:59.599
So it's double.

00:29:59.599 --> 00:30:02.559
The likeliness for the top floor.

00:30:02.559 --> 00:30:06.079
So, from a firefighting perspective, that's interesting too.

00:30:06.079 --> 00:30:08.640
Because usually you would check the next floor.

00:30:08.640 --> 00:30:16.640
And I myself, knowing the data, I regularly send someone to look at the top floor in the bathroom, in the kitchen, if there's smoke.

00:30:16.640 --> 00:30:18.480
And I even have a fatality once.

00:30:18.480 --> 00:30:23.200
An ordinary kitchen fire on the first floor led to a fatality in the top floor.

00:30:23.599 --> 00:30:25.839
It was not me, but my colleague from office, Jagosh.

00:30:25.839 --> 00:30:42.160
Uh, he was once investigating a case where there was a fatality in a building, and allegedly the wind conditions in that day were so that CO produced by someone else's heater was released through the chimney, and the wind pushed that CO into the chimney.

00:30:42.559 --> 00:30:43.200
Yeah, CO is bad.

00:30:44.319 --> 00:30:53.200
Yeah, we and we we have investigated this case uh through wind engineering for that particular day building to judge if it was scientifically possible or not.

00:30:53.200 --> 00:30:54.000
It was possible.

00:30:54.000 --> 00:30:55.359
It was very likely actually.

00:30:55.359 --> 00:31:00.000
So we were just discussing about the smoke spread, the doors, the shafts, the windows.

00:31:00.000 --> 00:31:02.319
And what about the ways of fire spread?

00:31:02.319 --> 00:31:03.359
What have you seen?

00:31:03.680 --> 00:31:07.839
Well, as as I said, fire spread doesn't occur that often.

00:31:07.839 --> 00:31:08.640
15%.

00:31:08.640 --> 00:31:09.440
Yeah.

00:31:09.440 --> 00:31:16.160
And then I thought, well, maybe we can see a focus as we saw with the smoke spreading.

00:31:16.160 --> 00:31:17.920
We don't see any focus.

00:31:17.920 --> 00:31:25.359
It's like common sense, flat distribution of the categorized ways of fire spreading.

00:31:25.359 --> 00:31:35.599
That, from my point of view, leads to the assumption that all the civil engineers do a good job connecting walls and floors and ceilings.

00:31:35.599 --> 00:31:37.039
That's mainly it.

00:31:37.039 --> 00:31:40.720
And designing fire resistance in any capacity.

00:31:40.720 --> 00:31:43.359
So no task to talk about.

00:31:43.359 --> 00:31:44.400
It's kind of boring.

00:31:44.640 --> 00:31:50.720
So you just got you just have the statistics, but it's well, still I I find quite a large number, 177.

00:31:50.880 --> 00:31:58.960
Was the it was is it again a majority in the residential buildings or I have a majority of data sets from the residential buildings.

00:31:58.960 --> 00:32:03.359
And I don't see, and I have looked in the sub data sets, I don't see any focus.

00:32:03.359 --> 00:32:09.039
I see nothing concerning anything where we'd say, well, oh, there we have something that could be better.

00:32:09.279 --> 00:32:10.160
Well, just stop it.

00:32:10.160 --> 00:32:13.279
I I mean if if there's a statistic that's boring, that's good.

00:32:13.279 --> 00:32:15.039
Yeah, if there's a fire statistic.

00:32:15.279 --> 00:32:17.519
It just shows that we know what we are doing.

00:32:17.519 --> 00:32:20.400
But we didn't talk about the elephant in the room.

00:32:20.400 --> 00:32:22.000
Do we need to get better?

00:32:22.000 --> 00:32:22.400
Yeah?

00:32:22.400 --> 00:32:24.319
Do we need to change anything?

00:32:24.319 --> 00:32:29.599
And from our point of view, with the lowest numbers in fraternities in Germany ever.

00:32:29.599 --> 00:32:30.319
No.

00:32:30.319 --> 00:32:41.359
So as a society, if one person dies in a very unlikely event of a fire, lying in his bed, maybe an elderly person and couldn't escape.

00:32:41.359 --> 00:32:44.319
That's very dramatic for the person, a tragedy, isn't it?

00:32:44.319 --> 00:32:48.799
But for us as a society, it's just a small news in the newspaper.

00:32:48.799 --> 00:33:02.079
If we have a multitude of fatalities, like ten people dying in an elderly home fire, as we had in the last years in Germany regularly, then it makes nationwide news.

00:33:02.079 --> 00:33:10.160
And if you have a catastrophic fire like Düsseldorf Fairport or uh Grenfell Tower, it makes worldwide news and has an impact.

00:33:10.160 --> 00:33:23.440
If we go down to the number of like 100 fatalities in the magnitude of that, this is where we have look at so we don't need any better fire propagation measures, down to 15%, that's nothing.

00:33:23.440 --> 00:33:26.240
And smoke, we just observe.

00:33:26.240 --> 00:33:39.279
But our conclusion is maybe we need don't just need a regulation for hospitals, maybe we could, it would be respectful toward the elderly to introduce a building regulation for the home for the elderly.

00:33:39.279 --> 00:33:43.519
But from a cost perspective, they decided no, we won't do that.

00:33:43.839 --> 00:33:45.759
Well, technically you see that.

00:33:45.759 --> 00:34:03.119
I find it interesting in this data set that you can see, like for the Bavarian case and the fire doors, there is a measurable improvement in those statistics at this number of Was there anything else like that so obvious in the statistics that made a big difference?

00:34:03.279 --> 00:34:16.079
Were you able to track any other cases of uh modifications in the No We didn't have a look at the modifications yet because the last modifications in the building code were introduced by us?

00:34:16.320 --> 00:34:16.480
Okay.

00:34:16.639 --> 00:34:21.760
So with the RD, and you need at least two decades to see that in the data set.

00:34:22.079 --> 00:34:28.400
But okay, but you must have a differences between lands, like different approaches to do, for example, an assembly hall.

00:34:28.400 --> 00:34:31.760
Or it's not unified in general Germany, right, as far as I know.

00:34:32.239 --> 00:34:39.360
Because we do have these model building regulations, and I'm part of several of these groups that write these um regulations.

00:34:39.360 --> 00:34:46.960
The deviation between the model and the actual one in the very of the 16 states, it's just a very small deviation.

00:34:46.960 --> 00:34:49.280
They are mainly the same.

00:34:49.280 --> 00:34:52.960
And we don't see fatalities in assembly halls and all this.

00:34:52.960 --> 00:34:53.760
And why is that?

00:34:53.760 --> 00:35:00.719
Because in assembly halls, for example, in a football stadium, 60,000 fans yelling in a circus stadium.

00:35:00.719 --> 00:35:04.079
If there anything fails, it fails bad.

00:35:04.079 --> 00:35:06.719
So this is why we don't see anything there.

00:35:06.719 --> 00:35:13.039
And it's like you you could say we have the fewest car crash fatalities ever in Germany.

00:35:13.039 --> 00:35:15.840
Well, we don't need a seatbelt anymore.

00:35:15.840 --> 00:35:17.039
No one would say that.

00:35:17.039 --> 00:35:18.000
Yes, yes, yes.

00:35:18.000 --> 00:35:32.480
But this is a problem in from my point of view in the building regulations, because you have a social technical system, and any change needs a long time to really show what will happen in the system.

00:35:32.480 --> 00:35:33.840
It takes decades.

00:35:33.840 --> 00:35:36.639
This is from my point of view very difficult to decide.

00:35:36.639 --> 00:35:42.960
Well, let's get off rid, for example, of stairwell surfaces must be non-flammable.

00:35:42.960 --> 00:35:48.960
For every engineer, it was absolutely clear if they have a wooden stairwell, it's like a chimney.

00:35:48.960 --> 00:35:50.079
A wooden chimney.

00:35:50.079 --> 00:35:51.840
So a very rapid fire spread.

00:35:51.840 --> 00:36:00.159
But I've seen proof engineers stating, well, we install a fire alarm, a smoke alarm, and alarm the fire department early, they will cover that problem.

00:36:00.159 --> 00:36:05.760
And what we've seen now with wooden constructions, another paper, is that that doesn't work.

00:36:05.760 --> 00:36:13.199
The fire is that fast that even if you alarm the fire department earlier with a very rapid fire growth, that's great.

00:36:13.199 --> 00:36:14.559
We you have no chance.

00:36:14.960 --> 00:36:20.400
You have kind of led me to another question I wanted to ask because the world is changing so fast.

00:36:20.400 --> 00:36:25.360
I see three technologies right now that could tremendously change all of this.

00:36:25.360 --> 00:36:28.639
One is the timber, the return of timber to construction.

00:36:28.639 --> 00:36:30.320
You must see this in statistics.

00:36:30.320 --> 00:36:31.519
I I I would assume you would see.

00:36:31.519 --> 00:36:33.360
Well, we did, we published a paper on that too.

00:36:33.360 --> 00:36:35.440
In a second, we'll we'll talk about that.

00:36:35.440 --> 00:36:38.880
The second would be the energy storage in your buildings.

00:36:38.880 --> 00:36:43.199
In in terms of power, maybe we don't have power walls uh large enough.

00:36:43.199 --> 00:36:46.079
And and three would be immobility, something that FSRI shows.

00:36:46.079 --> 00:36:47.920
No, you haven't seen that in your statistics.

00:36:47.920 --> 00:36:48.639
Yeah, we did.

00:36:48.639 --> 00:36:49.119
You did.

00:36:49.280 --> 00:36:50.639
We did a lot of research on that.

00:36:50.639 --> 00:36:56.000
Yeah, we had the largest fire test worldwide concerning Lypium iron batteries.

00:36:56.000 --> 00:36:56.320
Okay.

00:36:56.320 --> 00:36:59.440
Together with the Technical University of Porschweig, Professor Tsifus.

00:36:59.440 --> 00:37:03.039
We had eighty tons of batteries.

00:37:03.039 --> 00:37:04.000
Eighty tons.

00:37:04.000 --> 00:37:04.800
80 tons.

00:37:04.960 --> 00:37:05.840
That's a little bit about it.

00:37:06.079 --> 00:37:08.320
So just to go through all your three aspects.

00:37:08.320 --> 00:37:08.719
Yeah.

00:37:08.719 --> 00:37:11.119
First of all, wooden constructions.

00:37:11.119 --> 00:37:13.199
It's not about the fire resistance.

00:37:13.199 --> 00:37:15.920
If you have a large thank you for saying that.

00:37:15.920 --> 00:37:17.280
I'm uh looking for that.

00:37:17.280 --> 00:37:22.880
Large piece of timber you can calculate by Euro code five the fire resistance.

00:37:22.880 --> 00:37:26.000
So it can be endlessly from that point of view.

00:37:26.239 --> 00:37:26.800
It's just a number.

00:37:26.960 --> 00:37:27.760
It's just a number.

00:37:27.760 --> 00:37:28.960
But I don't care.

00:37:28.960 --> 00:37:37.039
I care from a topological point of view, from a system point of view, how often do we see a full loss of a building?

00:37:37.039 --> 00:37:39.920
So once a year in Germany, no one cares.

00:37:39.920 --> 00:37:57.679
But if there's a small fire in an apartment, a kitchen fire, yeah, and you regularly lose the whole building with a lot of fatalities because of the enormous speed, because you don't put plaster on the wall, the visibility of surfaces, wooden surfaces changes the game totally.

00:37:57.679 --> 00:38:05.760
And I don't know any fire department in the world that could cope with a fire on three floors at the same time.

00:38:05.760 --> 00:38:10.320
Because you have that many flammable fumes on the outside of a window.

00:38:10.320 --> 00:38:14.639
We don't see a fire spread just into the next floor through a window.

00:38:14.639 --> 00:38:19.360
But the heat is so it goes to the third, second or third floor above.

00:38:19.360 --> 00:38:21.760
And I don't know any firewind that could cope with that.

00:38:21.760 --> 00:38:32.320
So it's more about speed and less about fire resistance, it's more about flammability than the problem if a wall burns to okay, Mr.

00:38:32.320 --> 00:38:32.800
Firefighter.

00:38:32.800 --> 00:38:34.159
But do you have a proof for that?

00:38:34.159 --> 00:38:34.960
I have.

00:38:34.960 --> 00:38:44.719
In the paper we just published in German in Bautechnik, regularly we see uh fire spread in approximately 15%, mainly through a window.

00:38:44.719 --> 00:38:50.559
Uh in wooden construction, it's a very small data set, of course, because we don't have that many buildings yet.

00:38:50.559 --> 00:38:51.679
More than 50%.

00:38:51.679 --> 00:38:57.599
And firewalls, for example, are really good middle-aged knowledge.

00:38:57.599 --> 00:39:04.639
We usually see like 2% of the cases, and regularly only in row in terraced houses.

00:39:04.639 --> 00:39:06.000
So the small ones.

00:39:06.000 --> 00:39:11.280
In the bigger buildings, we don't see any fire spread crossing a firewall between buildings.

00:39:11.280 --> 00:39:17.440
But with timber construction regularly, like going up to 15%, 20%.

00:39:17.440 --> 00:39:19.280
We we don't know that.

00:39:19.280 --> 00:39:19.840
Yeah.

00:39:19.840 --> 00:39:25.280
If there's a firewall, you can rely on it as from a tactical point of view.

00:39:25.280 --> 00:39:26.559
But now we have proof.

00:39:26.559 --> 00:39:33.119
It's a small data set, but we have the first not proof, but maybe indicators proving our gut feeling.

00:39:33.440 --> 00:39:37.280
It's a a small data set, but uh unfortunately growing.

00:39:37.280 --> 00:39:39.199
Uh so uh fast.

00:39:39.199 --> 00:39:42.000
Just got some pictures yesterday from a colleague of mine.

00:39:42.000 --> 00:39:46.480
How about uh the batteries and uh how about okay about batteries?

00:39:46.719 --> 00:39:50.800
Um tell you you have a canister of fuel at home.

00:39:50.800 --> 00:39:54.239
You would sell okay, this is flammable and no problem at all.

00:39:54.239 --> 00:40:00.960
You have a car, ordinary car with fuel in your garage that could be on fire, couldn't it be?

00:40:00.960 --> 00:40:05.760
But we learned as a society that's so unlikely with the ordinary garage, this works out.

00:40:05.760 --> 00:40:07.119
Now coming to data.

00:40:07.119 --> 00:40:08.480
Let's do a mind trick.

00:40:08.480 --> 00:40:21.519
Yeah, you sell your fueled car, you buy an electrical car, you buy a home storage battery system in your cellar, and a PV system, a photovoltaic system.

00:40:21.519 --> 00:40:27.920
And I asked the question towards the underwriters of all German insurance companies.

00:40:27.920 --> 00:40:29.199
They had an a meeting.

00:40:29.199 --> 00:40:33.760
Said, what do you think will happen with the likeliness, the probability of a fire?

00:40:33.760 --> 00:40:37.599
And they all wrote their hands, but plus 50%, plus 200%.

00:40:37.599 --> 00:40:41.920
Um, there was a paper from the uh University of Aachen.

00:40:41.920 --> 00:40:48.320
The actual data, a huge data set, shows minus minus 17%.

00:40:48.320 --> 00:40:49.760
Minus.

00:40:49.760 --> 00:40:50.639
Minus.

00:40:50.639 --> 00:41:00.880
So if you sell your car in your single family home and buy an e-cor, a battery, and a PV system, you lower your risk.

00:41:00.880 --> 00:41:11.039
The probability for a fire of the PV system or your battery storing the PV energy is as low as your tumble dryer or your washing machine.

00:41:11.039 --> 00:41:13.039
Only the fridge is safer.

00:41:13.039 --> 00:41:15.360
Which allegedly was the case of Grandfall, by the way.

00:41:15.360 --> 00:41:16.559
Yeah, yeah, I know, I know.

00:41:16.559 --> 00:41:19.760
But in in the end, as a society, it's okay.

00:41:19.760 --> 00:41:27.039
And what we see in Germany, if there's a fire, a house fire, it's not a technological problem, it's a product problem.

00:41:27.039 --> 00:41:32.480
Yeah, too many factor manufacturers had problems with their batteries, they had a huge recall.

00:41:32.480 --> 00:41:41.920
And what we see a lot are some guys that believe they could put their batteries themselves together by some fancy YouTube video.

00:41:41.920 --> 00:41:49.360
And if I would tell you, well, I engineered at home my own gas heating.

00:41:49.360 --> 00:41:53.599
Yeah, and gas is so dangerous, now my house exploded.

00:41:53.599 --> 00:41:59.519
You would never say, Oh, gas is uh the issue, the problem isn't the problem.

00:41:59.519 --> 00:42:00.719
You're an idiot.

00:42:00.880 --> 00:42:01.280
Yes.

00:42:02.400 --> 00:42:05.199
Buy a heater from a company and it won't be a problem.

00:42:05.199 --> 00:42:18.719
But okay, but but coming to other aspects, what we see in the data, and we changed our model building code towards uh steel garages, is that the fires are more intense, but not due to batteries.

00:42:18.719 --> 00:42:22.400
What we see is the cars got bigger, yeah SUVs and all that.

00:42:22.400 --> 00:42:38.719
A lot of papers going in the community around, it's about if we keep the parking spaces with the same size, so the cars are closer together, it takes not 50 minutes but seven minutes for fire spreading toward the next car, and we see these huge fires.

00:42:38.719 --> 00:42:44.800
And the only thing we need to learn as a fire department is how to cope with the venting causes.

00:42:44.800 --> 00:42:48.960
If there's a problem with the venting and the batteries because of the thermal cause.

00:42:49.280 --> 00:42:57.280
But didn't don't you see in statistics the okay, we'll we just uh briefly touch the electric vehicles in terms of of scooters, etc.

00:42:57.280 --> 00:42:59.199
Don't you scooters is another story.

00:42:59.199 --> 00:43:08.000
Yeah, but but don't you see those uh batteries be participants, not necessarily sources of the fire and making the outcomes measurably worse?

00:43:08.239 --> 00:43:21.760
Like all we know is, and we did I do a lot of research with batteries, and we got a lot of uh fire tests going on with about storing, and we will just publish next week a recommendation for storing batteries and production facilities.

00:43:21.760 --> 00:43:28.480
And this is like comparing it again to fuel if you have a huge tank of gasoline stored.

00:43:28.480 --> 00:43:33.840
Everyone will say, Well, there we need special regulations for storing this huge amount of fuel.

00:43:33.840 --> 00:43:35.679
And this is the same with batteries.

00:43:35.679 --> 00:44:04.480
So we will introduce a recommendation that states if you're above the level of five tons, was this a suggestion just to start somewhere, separate these areas approximately 150 square meters, but not separating with firewalls or resistance, but even stacked uh concrete stones, like playing that I don't know, I don't I'm not in the blocks, not let don't let's use the product name, these blocks.

00:44:04.480 --> 00:44:26.960
Like, and then you don't prevent the fire from spreading totally, but you give the fire department time to attack at a point at which they can well they still can act because if you have the model building regulation for industrial buildings in Germany, you would be allowed to put a storage facility 1200 square meters, a distance of three meters, another one thousand two hundred square meters.

00:44:26.960 --> 00:44:28.079
That would be too big.

00:44:28.079 --> 00:44:30.079
Okay, Bjorn, and and the scooters?

00:44:30.079 --> 00:44:33.679
Well, I think we need more common sense.

00:44:33.679 --> 00:44:36.559
Are you well but oh well let's put it another way.

00:44:36.559 --> 00:44:45.519
If I told you I put my old cheap moped with fuel in the stairwell, now it's on fire, everyone was injured.

00:44:45.519 --> 00:44:46.800
Or I put it in my apartment.

00:44:46.800 --> 00:44:47.679
You're an idiot.

00:44:47.679 --> 00:44:48.639
You're an idiot.

00:44:48.639 --> 00:44:57.360
And what are we doing is we're putting these materials in our apartment, and usually a car battery doesn't fall down.

00:44:57.360 --> 00:45:01.119
It's one of the mechanisms to start a fire in a battery, in a failure in a fire.

00:45:01.119 --> 00:45:09.119
And then we have these batteries, we let them fall down, it gets knocked down, we don't handle it carefully, and then we are surprised.

00:45:09.119 --> 00:45:12.239
Well, oh, the bad battery night in my apartment.

00:45:12.239 --> 00:45:14.159
Yes, why did it do so?

00:45:14.159 --> 00:45:20.960
Because if you buy the cheap product and you don't take care of it, don't be surprised if it's on fire.

00:45:20.960 --> 00:45:24.480
Of course, we see that in the data that there are more fires of this kind.

00:45:24.480 --> 00:45:33.440
But we as a society learned don't take your fueled car, bike, motorbike in your apartment.

00:45:33.440 --> 00:45:38.400
And they take their fuel, their battery, back in the apartment.

00:45:38.400 --> 00:45:40.079
And this is what we will learn.

00:45:40.079 --> 00:45:41.440
By blood.

00:45:41.679 --> 00:45:49.280
I mean, it's a challenging topic because I I also as you said a lot of that is connected to social status.

00:45:49.280 --> 00:45:55.199
And if you are rich enough to have a separate space to keep your mouth somewhere, it's safer.

00:45:55.199 --> 00:46:02.239
But if you're just renting one bedroom for half of your wage and you have to keep it somewhere, it's not that you have much choice.

00:46:02.239 --> 00:46:03.840
It's very challenging.

00:46:03.840 --> 00:46:07.199
So but it's interesting that you can see things like that in statistics later.

00:46:07.599 --> 00:46:24.480
We can see it, and what I think what is important to note is that from a regulator's point of view, from the elected representative's point of view, when will the problem be big enough that we need to introduce a regulation?

00:46:24.480 --> 00:46:26.480
Yeah, and yeah, very interesting.

00:46:26.480 --> 00:46:30.960
From not from the point of view how to make it better, safer.

00:46:30.960 --> 00:46:32.639
I I don't like these phrases.

00:46:32.639 --> 00:46:36.480
I I mean, is it really necessary to change anything?

00:46:36.480 --> 00:46:41.679
Or is it just common sense in the society developing?

00:46:41.679 --> 00:46:47.519
And we are really fast in getting better concerning this technology.

00:46:47.519 --> 00:46:54.960
For example, the Chinese market will introduce a regulation in I think two years that the propagation in the battery is prohibited.

00:46:54.960 --> 00:46:56.079
Is prohibited.

00:46:56.079 --> 00:47:01.199
So I've seen the engineering in Germany, and you know I'm from Munich, and we have some smaller companies there.

00:47:01.199 --> 00:47:03.599
Some companies.

00:47:03.599 --> 00:47:07.599
And they showed me how they engineered a solution.

00:47:07.599 --> 00:47:09.119
I was really impressed.

00:47:10.239 --> 00:47:22.159
I was just on a conference on batteries in China, and you know, seeing hundreds and hundreds of researchers and each group working on some sort of a solution at the battery level, at the cell level.

00:47:22.159 --> 00:47:34.320
I mean, I'm not saying that I've seen the final greatest solution already there, but I just seen you, you know, those hundreds and hundreds of people working towards one and their accumulated effort will yield a good solution.

00:47:34.559 --> 00:47:37.920
And we are that fast, almost in less than a decade, we find solutions.

00:47:37.920 --> 00:47:53.039
Because if you compare to the ordinary car, when I became a voluntary firefighter in 1999, a few years ago, the elder, so the old firefighters told me, Well, if there's a car crash, you need to be prepared for a car on fire.

00:47:53.039 --> 00:47:54.320
I've never seen that.

00:47:54.320 --> 00:48:00.000
Because in the 1990s, we've seen an improvement in the technology itself.

00:48:00.000 --> 00:48:05.039
Airbags were invented, all the passive systems, the active systems.

00:48:05.039 --> 00:48:08.320
So the car knew, oh well, there's an impact.

00:48:08.320 --> 00:48:11.280
Now I need to stop the pump from pumping fuel.

00:48:11.280 --> 00:48:11.679
Yeah.

00:48:11.679 --> 00:48:13.840
And we don't see any coal fires.

00:48:14.400 --> 00:48:18.320
Just putting the the the fuel tank underneath the vehicle has seemed a Yes.

00:48:18.480 --> 00:48:22.480
So and this took like 30, 40, 50 years.

00:48:22.480 --> 00:48:24.559
Now we see it in just one decade.

00:48:24.559 --> 00:48:29.679
So please do stop arguing about we need to make it safer.

00:48:29.679 --> 00:48:32.960
I mean, yeah, you didn't from a building regulations perspective.

00:48:33.920 --> 00:48:37.599
Well, uh you have to appreciate it's also politics, you know, and and of course.

00:48:37.599 --> 00:48:44.320
And and if it's a political decision, but if in here in this podcast we talk science and engineering, we don't do politics.

00:48:44.320 --> 00:48:46.639
Uh, but I appreciate the fact that politics exists.

00:48:47.039 --> 00:48:50.559
But the ALAP principle is the common sense too.

00:48:50.639 --> 00:48:50.960
Yeah.

00:48:51.199 --> 00:48:53.840
Is it safe enough from that point of view?

00:48:53.840 --> 00:48:54.960
Where do we start?

00:48:54.960 --> 00:49:06.719
What and our idea is to put the finger in the wound where it is necessary, and to even introduce a deregulation where possible.

00:49:06.719 --> 00:49:13.679
For example, what was really interesting, the German regulations about fire extinguishers at work.

00:49:13.679 --> 00:49:14.719
The necessity.

00:49:14.719 --> 00:49:20.159
Well, they designed the amount of fire extinguishers by the fire load that is there.

00:49:20.159 --> 00:49:26.320
I don't know if you've seen the video from the climate where they not very successful.

00:49:26.320 --> 00:49:39.760
Didn't use these very what we see in the data is if they use multiple fire extinguishers at one time, the likeliness, or what we assert, that someone will be injured doubles from 30 to 60 percent.

00:49:39.760 --> 00:49:58.719
And 23 years ago, my former boss, and he was also the chairman of this expert group for fire prevention of the fire departments, we published a recommendation stating put there one standardized fire extinguisher every half escape route length, so approximately 17 to 18 meters.

00:49:58.719 --> 00:50:04.559
And if this one fire extinguisher's extinguisher is empty, run, leave the building.

00:50:04.559 --> 00:50:08.320
Do you know why that was never introduced in our regulations?

00:50:08.320 --> 00:50:19.760
Because we are not part of that group, because the manufacturers for fire extinguishers argued the fire departments don't know how to work and to fight a fire with a fire extinguisher.

00:50:19.760 --> 00:50:26.400
So we as the experts, as the producers, we want, of course, more fire extinguishers.

00:50:26.400 --> 00:50:31.440
So by getting rid of fire extinguishers, we would enhance fire safety.

00:50:31.440 --> 00:50:34.400
Because you don't give a this promise of safety.

00:50:34.400 --> 00:50:44.719
Yeah, never ever put three or four fire extinguishers side by side at one place, because in the event of a fire, it will lead people to stay too long.

00:50:45.280 --> 00:50:46.960
That's a very intriguing uh finding.

00:50:46.960 --> 00:51:01.599
Well, it reminds me of a YouTube video where someone guy was talking about like he was an expert in industrial electrical uh power plants, and he was responding to a comment like, What uh steps would you take when there's a fire in a power plant?

00:51:01.599 --> 00:51:04.800
And he said those would be quite big ones and very fast ones.

00:51:04.800 --> 00:51:07.440
That's the types of steps I would be taking.

00:51:07.440 --> 00:51:08.079
Very good.

00:51:08.079 --> 00:51:10.559
Um Bjorn, we're we're moving towards the end.

00:51:10.559 --> 00:51:18.960
Uh, there's one more interest because it's it's like we we sidestepped into very interesting philosophical discussion, which I think was very, very needed.

00:51:18.960 --> 00:51:26.239
One last final item for engineers because you also shown the time of intervention from your statistics.

00:51:26.239 --> 00:51:36.239
I find this very, very interesting because it's a usable data point that fire engineers can actually argue with in their fire strategies.

00:51:36.239 --> 00:51:44.559
Oh, like when people discuss the safety of timber buildings, I have another colleague in the office who is an advocate for timber buildings.

00:51:44.559 --> 00:51:48.480
I'm also kind of an advocate for timber buildings, just to do them reasonably.

00:51:48.480 --> 00:51:51.599
And uh people all sometimes confront us.

00:51:51.599 --> 00:51:53.199
Oh, he says that it's not a problem.

00:51:53.199 --> 00:51:55.039
You say it's potentially a problem.

00:51:55.039 --> 00:51:57.039
How how can you speak so differently?

00:51:57.039 --> 00:52:07.599
And I'm like, yeah, but he is dealing with like two-story tall residential buildings, and I am contemplating uh a hundred-meter-tall skyscraper out of timber as a completely different problem.

00:52:07.599 --> 00:52:16.400
And the one of the main differences is how soon the fire brigade can start their operations because that's a timeline that competes with the fire growth timeline.

00:52:16.639 --> 00:52:17.440
Oh, oh, oh.

00:52:17.440 --> 00:52:22.320
That that data is heavily discussed between the chiefs of the fire departments.

00:52:22.320 --> 00:52:26.800
Yeah, they like it because they like it and they dislike it at once.

00:52:26.800 --> 00:52:28.800
Because let me let me help you.

00:52:28.800 --> 00:52:34.159
We don't have data, but I I now have, but I didn't publish it yet because I must show the chiefs.

00:52:34.159 --> 00:52:40.400
How long was the time frame between when the fire started and when you when it was discovered?

00:52:40.400 --> 00:52:46.400
So when did they call in how how much it was in the hidden phase, let's say.

00:52:46.400 --> 00:52:48.320
Yeah, so how long do we did it take?

00:52:48.320 --> 00:52:49.360
Approximately.

00:52:49.360 --> 00:52:54.079
So, and because if you design a fire department, where to put the stations?

00:52:54.079 --> 00:52:56.960
In Germany, we have an isochronical model.

00:52:56.960 --> 00:53:01.599
So somewhere between eight and ten minutes, we need to be on scene starting from the call.

00:53:01.599 --> 00:53:02.159
Okay.

00:53:02.159 --> 00:53:04.239
So it's like circles around the fire station.

00:53:04.639 --> 00:53:06.159
It's not that the call is not zero.

00:53:07.119 --> 00:53:08.960
Timestamp, you call.

00:53:08.960 --> 00:53:11.280
Yeah, and we arrive on scene.

00:53:11.280 --> 00:53:12.239
Eight to ten minutes.

00:53:12.239 --> 00:53:14.800
We have millions of data sets.

00:53:14.800 --> 00:53:26.159
But what we didn't have was how long does it take after arriving, after pushing the status button, I arrived on my radio until we start rescuing and firefighting.

00:53:26.159 --> 00:53:27.760
This is this very data.

00:53:27.760 --> 00:53:28.079
Yeah.

00:53:28.079 --> 00:53:46.559
And what's interesting, and I have a bet with my fire chief going because he introduced a new scientific project called Flash Blitzendurm, where he changed tactics, single attacking, like specialized, like special forces working on this to become faster in this aspect.

00:53:46.559 --> 00:53:51.440
Okay because it was annoyed that it took us like eight minutes average in the fifth floor.

00:53:51.440 --> 00:54:03.199
And I have a bet running that with my ideas, I can gain more time than he will do with his tactical technical approach, just but not because in this data they have two aspects.

00:54:03.199 --> 00:54:07.519
We arrive on scene, and then you must look where to enter the building.

00:54:07.519 --> 00:54:09.519
Where's the entrance door?

00:54:09.519 --> 00:54:16.639
And the second phase is ordering your attack trip to climb up the stairs and to enter the fire.

00:54:16.639 --> 00:54:27.840
And if you arrive, for example, again at your single family home, well, it's a single family home, there's a door to walk the street, you enter, and on the left side there's a kitchen fire.

00:54:27.840 --> 00:54:29.599
So in average, three minutes.

00:54:29.599 --> 00:54:38.880
If you go in an urban area, like here in Warsaw, in Munich, and Hamburg and Berling, wherever, you have these buildings where what where's the house?

00:54:38.880 --> 00:54:39.679
What's the house then?

00:54:39.679 --> 00:54:40.480
Bay in the street.

00:54:40.480 --> 00:54:41.440
Well, where's the entry?

00:54:41.440 --> 00:54:42.079
52.

00:54:42.079 --> 00:54:43.519
Oh no, it's 55 to B.

00:54:43.519 --> 00:54:44.000
B.

00:54:44.000 --> 00:54:44.400
Oh yeah.

00:54:44.400 --> 00:54:47.039
And then you're looking around and all this.

00:54:47.039 --> 00:54:52.079
And by experience, and a third of my job is being chief officer in charge.

00:54:52.079 --> 00:54:55.920
So I have still have possibility to have the practical unit.

00:54:55.920 --> 00:55:00.800
Usually it's like, oh damn, in midnight, maybe two o'clock in the morning.

00:55:00.800 --> 00:55:02.559
Where's the damn entrance?

00:55:02.559 --> 00:55:03.920
And there we lose a lot of time.

00:55:03.920 --> 00:55:12.480
So the fire prevention department of the Munich Fire Department will introduce data in a fire app on a tablet for all trucks going there.

00:55:12.480 --> 00:55:22.159
Not pointing the place of the fire in the middle of the building, the dot on the map, but to point the dot where the entrance is.

00:55:22.159 --> 00:55:23.920
So I don't lose that time.

00:55:23.920 --> 00:55:30.480
And the bet is, my very cheap thing to do will be more effective than his project.

00:55:30.639 --> 00:55:30.880
Okay.

00:55:31.119 --> 00:55:32.880
And this is what I really do like about him.

00:55:32.880 --> 00:55:33.920
He's innovative.

00:55:33.920 --> 00:55:39.280
And he says, Well, um Bjorn, you are an expensive firefighter, of course, as an officer I level.

00:55:39.280 --> 00:55:49.920
But for us as a city, it's very important to have someone there looking around, getting the knowledge back to Munich and bringing it in the system.

00:55:49.920 --> 00:55:52.559
This is why my job was invented, actually.

00:55:52.559 --> 00:56:02.400
So because the Munich taxpayer could argue why is he in Warsaw at a conference and listening to really cool guys what they are doing?

00:56:02.400 --> 00:56:08.320
Because in the end, I'm not just doing the work for the John Fire Department, but for the city of Munich.

00:56:08.559 --> 00:56:09.519
Fantastic, Bjorn.

00:56:09.519 --> 00:56:16.559
And uh thank you for doing this important job for the city of Munich, and I'm really grateful that we can learn along with you.

00:56:16.559 --> 00:56:22.079
And uh big thanks for sharing those insights with the listeners of the fire science show.

00:56:22.079 --> 00:56:28.800
Any uh final words, how would you like to give your final uh call of wisdom to the listeners after this?

00:56:28.800 --> 00:56:30.960
So I I'll I'll rephrase.

00:56:30.960 --> 00:56:33.840
You you are continuing this.

00:56:33.840 --> 00:56:37.440
What lessons do you hope to learn through this exercise?

00:56:37.440 --> 00:56:38.719
Continuing it.

00:56:39.039 --> 00:56:46.880
I hope to learn what are the most important toppings to deal with that have the highest impact.

00:56:46.880 --> 00:56:56.480
But in other words, from my point of view, and scientifically speaking, fire safety is not a complicated system like statics.

00:56:56.480 --> 00:56:57.920
It's a complex system.

00:56:57.920 --> 00:57:05.679
And scientifically speaking, it's an probe sense response system, like we do as firefighting officers.

00:57:05.679 --> 00:57:10.000
I don't have a standardized IKEA design plan how to fight a fire.

00:57:10.000 --> 00:57:11.920
We learn as we walk.

00:57:11.920 --> 00:57:22.559
This is I want to encourage engineers to think out of the complicated box and to allow themselves to enter the complex branch.

00:57:22.880 --> 00:57:27.840
I think one thing that that that is that you're doing this exercise continuously.

00:57:27.840 --> 00:57:30.239
You said those data points converge.

00:57:30.239 --> 00:57:38.960
What would be very interesting, and you have to call me if that happens, when something goes out of convergence, when you see something has changed, you know?

00:57:38.960 --> 00:57:40.079
Wooden constructions.

00:57:40.079 --> 00:57:42.559
Yeah, right enormously.

00:57:42.559 --> 00:57:43.119
Yeah.

00:57:43.119 --> 00:57:52.000
But this is like by doing this exercise, you're also passively monitoring how how what's what's happening right now for for which it will take decades.

00:57:52.000 --> 00:57:52.400
Yeah.

00:57:52.400 --> 00:57:57.760
But if you if you don't do it, if we don't have the questionnaires and we don't model that in decades we still will not know.

00:57:57.760 --> 00:57:58.400
Thank you, Bjorn.

00:57:58.639 --> 00:57:59.119
Thank you very much.

00:57:59.360 --> 00:58:00.800
And that's it, thank you for listening.

00:58:00.800 --> 00:58:14.559
We went through 900 uh fires in Germany, but Bjorn has uh almost 2000 in the database, so many of the things he has said goes even beyond the fire technology paper, which I actually highly recommend to anyone.

00:58:14.559 --> 00:58:17.920
The link to the paper is in the show notes.

00:58:17.920 --> 00:58:28.320
So if you would like to look at the source material, look into the tables, look into more detailed description of the failures of fire safety systems and regimes, please uh go and do that.

00:58:28.320 --> 00:58:38.239
I think Bjorn presented a quite an interesting viewpoint, philosophical viewpoint on on where the fire safety should go and how much should change.

00:58:38.239 --> 00:58:40.800
And it it's it's kind of interesting.

00:58:40.800 --> 00:58:51.519
You know, we we are able to narrow down the areas where the problems are, though I'm not so sure if the solutions are with us, if you know what I mean.

00:58:51.519 --> 00:59:00.000
If the problems are in residential housing and they come from social status, you're not gonna solve them through fire detection.

00:59:00.000 --> 00:59:12.800
If the issues are with the retirement houses and you are incapable to get political will to issue new legislation and increase the safety there, it's it's not a fire safety engineering problem.

00:59:12.800 --> 00:59:15.840
Like we know the solution, it's just not embedded in the law.

00:59:15.840 --> 00:59:30.239
And and contrary, if we know that something doesn't work, it's very difficult to remove it from the system to know to to to create some sort of fresh space where different measures could be installed instead of the the existing ones.

00:59:30.239 --> 00:59:45.280
And and finally, some of the considerations of Bjorn about uh mass timber are very, very discouraging to be honest, if they increase the likelihood for floor to floor fire spread or compartment to compartment fire spread.

00:59:45.280 --> 00:59:53.519
So tremendously that this really looks like a potential problem, and we know that it could work like that because of the additional fuel load.

00:59:53.519 --> 00:59:57.199
I I really appreciate how he said that it's not about fire resistance.

00:59:57.199 --> 00:59:59.840
Anyway, this task is ongoing, the German collision.

00:59:59.840 --> 01:00:02.400
Are still collecting their statistics.

01:00:02.400 --> 01:00:10.880
I know there is a follow-up to the Eurostat project, so I hope we will get even better statistics in whole Europe already.

01:00:10.880 --> 01:00:14.719
I know there's a big project revamping the statistics in the US.

01:00:14.719 --> 01:00:19.599
I will get in touch with people who are doing that because I also think it's interesting.

01:00:19.599 --> 01:00:36.480
And I hope we will continue this collective learning exercise from the data we can achieve because the best we can do for people who were harmed in those tragedies is to at least learn something from it to perhaps prevent them in the future.

01:00:36.480 --> 01:00:38.559
That's what I would like.

01:00:38.559 --> 01:00:40.800
Anyway, that would be it for today.

01:00:40.800 --> 01:00:46.880
I hope you have a great day, a great week, and I hope to see you here next Wednesday.

01:00:46.880 --> 01:00:48.320
Thank you, bye.